Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2D + Music
Games tagged both 2D and Music: 41 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Music priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Music beats both its tags: 6 of its 10 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.4 in 100 for 2D and 36.8 in 100 for Music.
Small sample: 10 launches, 6 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 10 games tagged both 2D and Music priced $10 to $20. 60.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.0 for 2D-only games and 28.6 for Music-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 10 games priced $10 to $20; 60.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $263,118.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 10 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Music is audience-sensitive: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view39 of 41 launches | Without the breakout40 of 41 launches | Last 18 months21 of 41 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 418 hits | 398 hits | 407 hits | 214 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 19.5 in 100 | 20.5 in 100 | 17.5 in 100 | 19.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,112top tenth $385,809+ | $1,415 | $1,112 | $967 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +5.1%1.0 more in 100 | -10.3%2.0 fewer in 100 | -2.6%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +27.2%$303 more | 0.0%no change | -13.0%$145 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Music, 6 to 30 months old: 41 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 41 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (36.3% of the money): 40 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 41.
2D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,723 of 9,279 launches | Without the breakout9,278 of 9,279 launches | Last 18 months5,071 of 9,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,279280 hits | 8,723261 hits | 9,278279 hits | 5,071141 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $12,749+ | $303 | $303 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -19.8%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.
Music is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Music | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view149 of 151 launches | Without the breakout150 of 151 launches | Last 18 months80 of 151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15125 hits | 14925 hits | 15024 hits | 8012 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 16.6 in 100 | 16.8 in 100 | 16.0 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,699top tenth $263,118+ | $1,778 | $1,699 | $2,828 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.2%0.2 more in 100 | -3.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -9.6%1.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.6%$79 more | 0.0%no change | +66.5%$1,129 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Music, 6 to 30 months old: 151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, UNBEATABLE (19.9% of the money): 150 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 80 of 151.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Music moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.