Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 2D + Hidden Object
2D + Hidden Object
Games tagged both 2D and Hidden Object: 499 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Hidden Object priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails 2D and is level with Hidden Object; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Hidden Object trails both its tags: 2.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.4 in 100 for 2D and 6.9 in 100 for Hidden Object.
That is 1 in 40, about 0.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 81 games tagged both 2D and Hidden Object priced $10 to $20. 2.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.5 for 2D-only games and 10.2 for Hidden Object-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 81 games priced $10 to $20; 2.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 40), typical first-year earnings $1,214.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 81 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Hidden Object is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view487 of 499 launches | Without the breakout498 of 499 launches | Last 18 months254 of 499 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4995 hits | 4875 hits | 4984 hits | 2545 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.0 in 1001 in 100 | 1.0 in 1001 in 100 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $546top tenth $4,388+ | $546 | $546 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -20.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | +100.0%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -25.8%$141 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Hidden Object, 6 to 30 months old: 499 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 499 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lost and Found Co. (28.9% of the money): 498 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 254 of 499.
2D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,723 of 9,279 launches | Without the breakout9,278 of 9,279 launches | Last 18 months5,071 of 9,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,279280 hits | 8,723261 hits | 9,278279 hits | 5,071141 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $12,749+ | $303 | $303 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -19.8%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.
Hidden Object holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Hidden Object | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,721 of 1,767 launches | Without the breakout1,766 of 1,767 launches | Last 18 months937 of 1,767 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,76726 hits | 1,72125 hits | 1,76625 hits | 93717 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $541top tenth $6,669+ | $545 | $541 | $424 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +20.0%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.7%$4 more | 0.0%no change | -21.6%$117 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Hidden Object, 6 to 30 months old: 1,767 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 1,767 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Whisper of the House (10.0% of the money): 1,766 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 937 of 1,767.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Hidden Object moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.