Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
1990's + Retro
Games tagged both 1990's and Retro: 177 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 1990's + Retro priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
1990's + Retro beats both its tags: 20.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.3 in 100 for 1990's and 19.3 in 100 for Retro.
That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 40 games tagged both 1990's and Retro priced $10 to $20. 20.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.4 for 1990's-only games and 19.1 for Retro-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 40 games priced $10 to $20; 20.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $10,017.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 40 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
1990's + Retro holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view176 of 177 launches | Without the breakout176 of 177 launches | Last 18 months99 of 177 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 17717 hits | 17617 hits | 17616 hits | 9910 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 | 9.7 in 1001 in 10 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 10.1 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,416top tenth $98,234+ | $1,416 | $1,416 | $1,315 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.0%0.1 more in 100 | -5.2%0.5 fewer in 100 | +5.2%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -7.1%$101 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 1990's and Retro, 6 to 30 months old: 177 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 177 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Crow Country (31.4% of the money): 176 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 99 of 177.
1990's holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 1990's | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view747 of 775 launches | Without the breakout774 of 775 launches | Last 18 months419 of 775 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 77545 hits | 74743 hits | 77444 hits | 41927 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $31,154+ | $485 | $485 | $566 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +10.3%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +16.7%$81 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 1990's, 6 to 30 months old: 775 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 775 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, My Winter Car (16.9% of the money): 774 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 419 of 775.
Retro holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Retro | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,418 of 1,454 launches | Without the breakout1,453 of 1,454 launches | Last 18 months793 of 1,454 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,45472 hits | 1,41871 hits | 1,45371 hits | 79332 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $607top tenth $28,146+ | $607 | $607 | $566 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -20.0%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.8%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 6 to 30 months old: 1,454 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,454 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (18.2% of the money): 1,453 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 793 of 1,454.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 1990's + Retro moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.