Best niches
All pricesPairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 1 Oct
Of 5,130 niches with 30+ launches at any price, West-facing view, 2,264 beat the 1 in 16 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.2,264 of 5,130 niches beat the 1 in 16 base rate.2,264 beat the base rate.
Cohort median $606
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewThe West-facing view lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.
5,130 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, West-facing view. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at any price, West-facing viewthe base rate: the row to beat | 1 in 161,804 of 29,637 | $606 | not computed | 29,637 | |||
| 1 | Co-op + Open World49 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 49 in 10021 hits | $87,031 | not computed | 43 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Co-op + Open World |
| 2 | Co-op + Sandbox40 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 40 in 10017 hits | $47,612 | not computed | 42 | SmallAudience | Pin Co-op + Sandbox |
| 3 | Base Building + Multiplayer39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches | 39 in 10017 hits | $44,478 | not computed | 44 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Base Building + Multiplayer |
| 4 | Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches | 39 in 10017 hits | $37,033 | not computed | 44 | SmallAudience | Pin Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox |
| 5 | Crafting + Multiplayer38 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches | 38 in 10018 hits | $44,478 | not computed | 48 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Crafting + Multiplayer |
| 6 | Base Building + Open World Survival Craft37 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches | 37 in 10019 hits | $42,685 | not computed | 51 | 1-hit | Pin Base Building + Open World Survival Craft |
| 7 | Cozy + Story Rich37 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 37 in 10016 hits | $24,883 | not computed | 43 | SmallAudience | Pin Cozy + Story Rich |
| 8 | Character Customization + Open World36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches | 36 in 10025 hits | $14,192 | not computed | 69 | 1-hit | Pin Character Customization + Open World |
| 9 | Building + Multiplayer36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches | 36 in 10017 hits | $47,349 | not computed | 47 | SmallAudience | Pin Building + Multiplayer |
| 10 | Online Co-Op + Sandbox36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches | 36 in 10017 hits | $32,570 | not computed | 47 | Small | Pin Online Co-Op + Sandbox |
| 11 | Simulation + Wholesome36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 36 in 10015 hits | $39,155 | not computed | 42 | Small | Pin Simulation + Wholesome |
| 12 | Co-op + Roguelike34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches | 34 in 10015 hits | $26,778 | not computed | 44 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Co-op + Roguelike |
| 13 | Base Building + Colony Sim34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 97 launches | 34 in 10033 hits | $27,623 | not computed | 97 | none | Pin Base Building + Colony Sim |
| 14 | Multiplayer + Sandbox34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 77 launches | 34 in 10026 hits | $24,891 | not computed | 77 | none | Pin Multiplayer + Sandbox |
| 15 | Co-op + FPS33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches | 33 in 10017 hits | $3,436 | not computed | 51 | none | Pin Co-op + FPS |
| 16 | Open World Survival Craft + Survival33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches | 33 in 10025 hits | $25,194 | not computed | 76 | none | Pin Open World Survival Craft + Survival |
| 17 | City Builder + Survival33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches | 33 in 10015 hits | $21,482 | not computed | 46 | Small | Pin City Builder + Survival |
| 18 | Management + Multiplayer33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches | 33 in 10015 hits | $22,885 | not computed | 46 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Management + Multiplayer |
| 19 | Base Building + Management33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 135 launches | 33 in 10044 hits | $16,148 | not computed | 135 | none | Pin Base Building + Management |
| 20 | Multiplayer + Open World32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 77 launches | 32 in 10025 hits | $27,373 | not computed | 77 | 1-hit | Pin Multiplayer + Open World |
| 21 | Colony Sim + Sandbox32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches | 32 in 10021 hits | $8,496 | not computed | 65 | Audience | Pin Colony Sim + Sandbox |
| 22 | Online Co-Op + Open World32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches | 32 in 10015 hits | $22,264 | not computed | 47 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Online Co-Op + Open World |
| 23 | Base Building + Sandbox31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches | 31 in 10050 hits | $7,286 | not computed | 160 | Audience | Pin Base Building + Sandbox |
| 24 | Co-op + Survival31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches | 31 in 10025 hits | $15,526 | not computed | 80 | 1-hit | Pin Co-op + Survival |
| 25 | Online Co-Op + Roguelike31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches | 31 in 10014 hits | $10,722 | not computed | 45 | Small | Pin Online Co-Op + Roguelike |
| 26 | Crafting + Open World Survival Craft31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches | 31 in 10019 hits | $37,033 | not computed | 62 | 1-hit | Pin Crafting + Open World Survival Craft |
| 27 | Driving + Exploration31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches | 31 in 10019 hits | $3,544 | not computed | 62 | none | Pin Driving + Exploration |
| 28 | Driving + Open World30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches | 30 in 10020 hits | $6,511 | not computed | 66 | none | Pin Driving + Open World |
| 29 | Base Building + Crafting30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 143 launches | 30 in 10043 hits | $18,453 | not computed | 143 | 1-hit | Pin Base Building + Crafting |
| 30 | Colony Sim + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches | 30 in 10024 hits | $21,454 | not computed | 80 | none | Pin Colony Sim + Management |
| 31 | Cozy + Life Sim30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches | 30 in 10018 hits | $16,148 | not computed | 60 | none | Pin Cozy + Life Sim |
| 32 | Cozy + Farming Sim30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches | 30 in 10015 hits | $22,342 | not computed | 50 | none | Pin Cozy + Farming Sim |
| 33 | Dating Sim + FMV30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches | 30 in 10012 hits | $33,405 | not computed | 40 | SmallAudience | Pin Dating Sim + FMV |
| 34 | City Builder + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 127 launches | 30 in 10038 hits | $9,508 | not computed | 127 | 1-hit | Pin City Builder + Management |
| 35 | Medieval + Sandbox30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches | 30 in 10014 hits | $12,463 | not computed | 47 | Small | Pin Medieval + Sandbox |
| 36 | Multiplayer + Realistic29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 92 launches | 29 in 10027 hits | $8,252 | not computed | 92 | none | Pin Multiplayer + Realistic |
| 37 | Crime + Simulation29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches | 29 in 10017 hits | $3,739 | not computed | 58 | 1-hit | Pin Crime + Simulation |
| 38 | Co-op + PvE29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 99 launches | 29 in 10029 hits | $8,185 | not computed | 99 | none | Pin Co-op + PvE |
| 39 | Life Sim + Open World29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 72 launches | 29 in 10021 hits | $16,665 | not computed | 72 | Audience | Pin Life Sim + Open World |
| 40 | FPS + Online Co-Op29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches | 29 in 10016 hits | $7,485 | not computed | 55 | none | Pin FPS + Online Co-Op |
| 41 | Dungeon Crawler + Loot29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches | 29 in 10011 hits | $8,493 | not computed | 38 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Dungeon Crawler + Loot |
| 42 | Management + Open World29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches | 29 in 10011 hits | $8,726 | not computed | 38 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Management + Open World |
| 43 | Multiplayer + Roguelike29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches | 29 in 10013 hits | $8,901 | not computed | 45 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Multiplayer + Roguelike |
| 44 | Open World + Open World Survival Craft29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches | 29 in 10015 hits | $20,964 | not computed | 52 | none | Pin Open World + Open World Survival Craft |
| 45 | City Builder + Sandbox29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 133 launches | 29 in 10038 hits | $8,499 | not computed | 133 | 1-hit | Pin City Builder + Sandbox |
| 46 | Co-op + Roguelite29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches | 29 in 10018 hits | $13,305 | not computed | 63 | none | Pin Co-op + Roguelite |
| 47 | Military + Realistic29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 29 in 10012 hits | $2,125 | not computed | 42 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Military + Realistic |
| 48 | Base Building + Sci-fi28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches | 28 in 10013 hits | $2,428 | not computed | 46 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Base Building + Sci-fi |
| 49 | Base Building + City Builder28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 139 launches | 28 in 10039 hits | $10,924 | not computed | 139 | 1-hit | Pin Base Building + City Builder |
| 50 | Online Co-Op + Survival28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 90 launches | 28 in 10025 hits | $7,266 | not computed | 90 | Audience | Pin Online Co-Op + Survival |
| 51 | Building + Open World28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 83 launches | 28 in 10023 hits | $8,902 | not computed | 83 | none | Pin Building + Open World |
| 52 | Dark Fantasy + Souls-like28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches | 28 in 10021 hits | $4,359 | not computed | 76 | 1-hit | Pin Dark Fantasy + Souls-like |
| 53 | Exploration + Open World Survival Craft28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches | 28 in 10016 hits | $18,938 | not computed | 58 | 1-hit | Pin Exploration + Open World Survival Craft |
| 54 | City Builder + Colony Sim28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 120 launches | 28 in 10033 hits | $7,589 | not computed | 120 | none | Pin City Builder + Colony Sim |
| 55 | Desktop Companion + Relaxing28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches | 28 in 10011 hits | $22,342 | not computed | 40 | Small | Pin Desktop Companion + Relaxing |
| 56 | Historical + Simulation27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 95 launches | 27 in 10026 hits | $5,737 | not computed | 95 | 1-hit | Pin Historical + Simulation |
| 57 | Crafting + Open World27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 121 launches | 27 in 10033 hits | $12,144 | not computed | 121 | 1-hit | Pin Crafting + Open World |
| 58 | Base Building + Open World27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 88 launches | 27 in 10024 hits | $10,722 | not computed | 88 | 1-hit | Pin Base Building + Open World |
| 59 | Online Co-Op + Realistic27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches | 27 in 10012 hits | $16,588 | not computed | 44 | Small | Pin Online Co-Op + Realistic |
| 60 | Base Building + Exploration27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 122 launches | 27 in 10033 hits | $4,857 | not computed | 122 | Audience | Pin Base Building + Exploration |
| 61 | Idler + Loot27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 27 in 10010 hits | $9,903 | not computed | 37 | SmallAudience | Pin Idler + Loot |
| 62 | Colony Sim + Resource Management27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches | 27 in 10018 hits | $7,433 | not computed | 67 | none | Pin Colony Sim + Resource Management |
| 63 | FMV + Visual Novel27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches | 27 in 10011 hits | $33,405 | not computed | 41 | SmallAudience | Pin FMV + Visual Novel |
| 64 | Immersive Sim + Online Co-Op27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches | 27 in 10011 hits | $16,989 | not computed | 41 | Small | Pin Immersive Sim + Online Co-Op |
| 65 | Cozy + Exploration27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches | 27 in 10023 hits | $12,110 | not computed | 86 | none | Pin Cozy + Exploration |
| 66 | Base Building + Survival27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 161 launches | 27 in 10043 hits | $9,903 | not computed | 161 | none | Pin Base Building + Survival |
| 67 | Adventure + Cozy27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches | 27 in 10020 hits | $7,680 | not computed | 75 | Audience | Pin Adventure + Cozy |
| 68 | Management + RTS27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches | 27 in 10012 hits | $5,178 | not computed | 45 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Management + RTS |
| 69 | Building + Cozy27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 64 launches | 27 in 10017 hits | $8,252 | not computed | 64 | none | Pin Building + Cozy |
| 70 | City Builder + Resource Management26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 102 launches | 26 in 10027 hits | $7,892 | not computed | 102 | 1-hit | Pin City Builder + Resource Management |
| 71 | Building + Crafting26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 175 launches | 26 in 10046 hits | $5,279 | not computed | 175 | none | Pin Building + Crafting |
| 72 | Base Building + RTS26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches | 26 in 10021 hits | $11,535 | not computed | 80 | none | Pin Base Building + RTS |
| 73 | Crafting + Medieval26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 26 in 10011 hits | $5,787 | not computed | 42 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Crafting + Medieval |
| 74 | Life Sim + Survival26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 26 in 10011 hits | $1,616 | not computed | 42 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Life Sim + Survival |
| 75 | Tactical + Turn-Based Combat26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 26 in 10011 hits | $21,609 | not computed | 42 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Tactical + Turn-Based Combat |
Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.