Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens West-facing view

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Games mostly reviewed outside China: drops games with 35% or more of their reviews in Chinese. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 West-facing view 30+ launches Reset

The West-facing view lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Co-op + Sandbox, 40 in 100. 1,751 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $87,031 typical. 5,130 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Management, 33 in 100. 833 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,080 launches. 5,130 match.

Hide one-hit markets88 out Hide small samples47 out

5,130 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, West-facing view. 361 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, West-facing view, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, West-facing viewthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Adventure + Cozy27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	27 in 10020 hits	$7,680	not computed	75	Audience	Pin Adventure + Cozy
2	Adventure + Wholesome23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	23 in 1009 hits	$19,123	not computed	40	Small	Pin Adventure + Wholesome
3	Adventure + Online Co-Op21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 159 launches	21 in 10034 hits	$5,339	not computed	159	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Online Co-Op
4	Action-Adventure + Gore21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches	21 in 1009 hits	$666	not computed	43	Small	Pin Action-Adventure + Gore
5	Adventure + Open World Survival Craft21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	21 in 10010 hits	$18,938	not computed	48	SmallAudience	Pin Adventure + Open World Survival Craft
6	Adventure + Building21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 78 launches	21 in 10016 hits	$4,857	not computed	78	Audience	Pin Adventure + Building
7	Choose Your Own Adventure + Cinematic20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	20 in 1007 hits	$1,821	not computed	35	SmallAudience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Cinematic
8	Adventure + Co-op19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 186 launches	19 in 10036 hits	$4,388	not computed	186	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Co-op
9	Action-Adventure + Co-op19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	19 in 10016 hits	$2,732	not computed	86	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Co-op
10	Adventure + Base Building17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	17 in 10011 hits	$5,849	not computed	66	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Base Building
11	Adventure + Management17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	17 in 1009 hits	$6,871	not computed	54	none	Pin Adventure + Management
12	Adventure + Multiplayer16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 214 launches	16 in 10034 hits	$1,982	not computed	214	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Multiplayer
13	Action-Adventure + Violent15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	15 in 1006 hits	$1,032	not computed	39	Small	Pin Action-Adventure + Violent
14	Action-Adventure + Metroidvania15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 190 launches	15 in 10029 hits	$2,265	not computed	190	Audience	Pin Action-Adventure + Metroidvania
15	Adventure + Crafting15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 145 launches	15 in 10022 hits	$4,857	not computed	145	none	Pin Adventure + Crafting
16	Adventure + Local Co-Op15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	15 in 10010 hits	$2,549	not computed	66	none	Pin Adventure + Local Co-Op
17	Adventure + Farming Sim15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	15 in 1007 hits	$1,616	not computed	47	SmallAudience	Pin Adventure + Farming Sim
18	Adventure + Narrative15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 61 launches	15 in 1009 hits	$4,143	not computed	61	none	Pin Adventure + Narrative
19	Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 94 launches	14 in 10013 hits	$1,052	not computed	94	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim
20	Action-Adventure + Online Co-Op13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches	13 in 10011 hits	$3,680	not computed	82	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Online Co-Op
21	Adventure + Driving13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	13 in 1007 hits	$1,415	not computed	54	1-hitAudience	Pin Adventure + Driving
22	Adventure + Robots13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	13 in 1007 hits	$911	not computed	54	1-hitAudience	Pin Adventure + Robots
23	Action-Adventure + Post-apocalyptic13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	13 in 1009 hits	$566	not computed	70	1-hit	Pin Action-Adventure + Post-apocalyptic
24	Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 109 launches	13 in 10014 hits	$1,213	not computed	109	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy
25	Adventure + Detective12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 234 launches	12 in 10029 hits	$1,416	not computed	234	Audience	Pin Adventure + Detective

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 361 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.