Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets69 out Hide small samples73 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 167 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Co-op + Shooter29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	29 in 10011 hits	$3,643	not computed	38	1-hitSmall	Pin Co-op + Shooter
2	Shooter + Story Rich26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	26 in 10011 hits	$3,238	not computed	42	Small	Pin Shooter + Story Rich
3	Online Co-Op + Shooter26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	26 in 1008 hits	$2,972	not computed	31	Small	Pin Online Co-Op + Shooter
4	Gore + Shooter19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 36 launches	19 in 1007 hits	$1,516	not computed	36	1-hitSmall	Pin Gore + Shooter
5	Gun Customization + Shooter19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	19 in 1006 hits	$1,415	not computed	32	Small	Pin Gun Customization + Shooter
6	1990's + Shooter17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	17 in 1006 hits	$2,305	not computed	35	Small	Pin 1990's + Shooter
7	Fast-Paced + Shooter16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	16 in 1005 hits	$3,236	not computed	31	Small	Pin Fast-Paced + Shooter
8	FPS + Looter Shooter15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	15 in 1006 hits	$809	not computed	39	1-hitSmall	Pin FPS + Looter Shooter
9	Military + Shooter14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	14 in 1007 hits	$405	not computed	49	1-hitSmall	Pin Military + Shooter
10	Sandbox + Shooter14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	14 in 1005 hits	$728	not computed	37	Small	Pin Sandbox + Shooter
11	Realistic + Shooter13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 87 launches	13 in 10011 hits	$566	not computed	87	none	Pin Realistic + Shooter
12	Open World + Shooter13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	13 in 1004 hits	$6,472	not computed	32	1-hitSmall	Pin Open World + Shooter
13	Shooter + Violent13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	13 in 1004 hits	$1,010	not computed	32	SmallAudience	Pin Shooter + Violent
14	Looter Shooter + Roguelite12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	12 in 1004 hits	$3,256	not computed	34	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Looter Shooter + Roguelite
15	Horror + Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 114 launches	11 in 10013 hits	$969	not computed	114	none	Pin Horror + Shooter
16	PvE + Third-Person Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	11 in 1004 hits	$303	not computed	37	1-hitSmall	Pin PvE + Third-Person Shooter
17	Female Protagonist + Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	11 in 1006 hits	$2,586	not computed	56	none	Pin Female Protagonist + Shooter
18	FPS + Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 413 launches	11 in 10044 hits	$607	not computed	413	none	Pin FPS + Shooter
19	First-Person + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 322 launches	10 in 10033 hits	$607	not computed	322	none	Pin First-Person + Shooter
20	Multiplayer + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	10 in 1008 hits	$303	not computed	79	1-hitAudience	Pin Multiplayer + Shooter
21	Action Roguelike + Looter Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	10 in 1004 hits	$607	not computed	40	Small	Pin Action Roguelike + Looter Shooter
22	Shooter + War10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	10 in 1004 hits	$381	not computed	40	Small	Pin Shooter + War
23	Action Roguelike + Third-Person Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	10 in 1003 hits	$1,415	not computed	30	SmallAudience	Pin Action Roguelike + Third-Person Shooter
24	Dungeon Crawler + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	10 in 1003 hits	$546	not computed	30	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Dungeon Crawler + Shooter
25	Looter Shooter + Roguelike10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	10 in 1003 hits	$1,564	not computed	30	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Looter Shooter + Roguelike

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 167 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.