Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets72 out Hide small samples89 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 247 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	FMV + RPG31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	31 in 10015 hits	$28,961	not computed	49	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + RPG
2	Base Building + RPG29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	29 in 10010 hits	$9,111	not computed	35	Small	Pin Base Building + RPG
3	Action RPG + Isometric26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	26 in 1009 hits	$3,641	not computed	35	1-hitSmall	Pin Action RPG + Isometric
4	Story Rich + Strategy RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	23 in 1007 hits	$2,590	not computed	31	SmallAudience	Pin Story Rich + Strategy RPG
5	Cinematic + RPG22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	22 in 1007 hits	$607	not computed	32	SmallAudience	Pin Cinematic + RPG
6	RPG + Turn-Based21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	21 in 1007 hits	$18,216	not computed	33	1-hitSmall	Pin RPG + Turn-Based
7	Building + RPG20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	20 in 1007 hits	$4,046	not computed	35	Small	Pin Building + RPG
8	Co-op + RPG20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	20 in 1006 hits	$7,789	not computed	30	Small	Pin Co-op + RPG
9	Online Co-Op + RPG20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	20 in 1006 hits	$6,545	not computed	30	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Online Co-Op + RPG
10	Isometric + RPG19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	19 in 1009 hits	$4,046	not computed	47	1-hitSmall	Pin Isometric + RPG
11	RPG + Sandbox19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 89 launches	19 in 10017 hits	$2,186	not computed	89	none	Pin RPG + Sandbox
12	Action RPG + Character Customization19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	19 in 1007 hits	$1,314	not computed	37	1-hitSmall	Pin Action RPG + Character Customization
13	Action RPG + Anime18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$2,185	not computed	39	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Action RPG + Anime
14	Immersive Sim + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches	18 in 10015 hits	$1,010	not computed	85	Audience	Pin Immersive Sim + RPG
15	Loot + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 57 launches	18 in 10010 hits	$4,045	not computed	57	1-hitAudience	Pin Loot + RPG
16	Action RPG + Female Protagonist17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	17 in 1009 hits	$2,630	not computed	52	1-hitAudience	Pin Action RPG + Female Protagonist
17	Action RPG + Dark Fantasy16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches	16 in 1009 hits	$1,214	not computed	55	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Dark Fantasy
18	RPG + Resource Management16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	16 in 1006 hits	$8,493	not computed	38	SmallAudience	Pin RPG + Resource Management
19	Crafting + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	16 in 10011 hits	$2,550	not computed	70	none	Pin Crafting + RPG
20	Character Customization + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 115 launches	16 in 10018 hits	$2,324	not computed	115	1-hit	Pin Character Customization + RPG
21	Metroidvania + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	16 in 1007 hits	$3,277	not computed	45	Small	Pin Metroidvania + RPG
22	Multiplayer + RPG15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	15 in 1005 hits	$1,821	not computed	33	Small	Pin Multiplayer + RPG
23	Difficult + RPG15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	15 in 1005 hits	$6,310	not computed	34	Small	Pin Difficult + RPG
24	Action RPG + Story Rich15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	15 in 1007 hits	$3,398	not computed	48	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Action RPG + Story Rich
25	RPG + Relaxing15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches	15 in 1008 hits	$962	not computed	55	none	Pin RPG + Relaxing

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 247 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.