Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets1,200 out Hide small samples1,533 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

Co-op + Survival 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches at any price, Last 18 monthstypical $13,963. Best of the pins 1-hitSmall

Base Building + RPG 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches at any price, Last 18 monthstypical $9,111 Small

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Cinematic + FMV45 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	45 in 10014 hits	$66,831	not computed	31	SmallAudience	Pin Cinematic + FMV
2	Base Building + Open World35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	35 in 10017 hits	$18,938	not computed	48	1-hitSmall	Pin Base Building + Open World
3	FMV + Visual Novel35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	35 in 10017 hits	$41,726	not computed	49	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + Visual Novel
4	Online Co-Op + Sandbox34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	34 in 10011 hits	$47,961	not computed	32	Small	Pin Online Co-Op + Sandbox
5	Character Customization + Open World34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	34 in 10012 hits	$4,553	not computed	35	1-hitSmall	Pin Character Customization + Open World
6	Base Building + Exploration33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches	33 in 10023 hits	$9,714	not computed	69	Audience	Pin Base Building + Exploration
7	FMV + First-Person33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	33 in 10010 hits	$43,597	not computed	30	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + First-Person
8	Base Building + Crafting33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches	33 in 10028 hits	$21,307	not computed	85	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Crafting
9	Dating Sim + FMV33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	33 in 10013 hits	$41,394	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin Dating Sim + FMV
10	Co-op + Roguelite32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	32 in 10012 hits	$16,996	not computed	37	Small	Pin Co-op + Roguelite
11	Base Building + Sandbox32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 94 launches	32 in 10030 hits	$13,963	not computed	94	Audience	Pin Base Building + Sandbox
12	Multiplayer + Sandbox31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	31 in 10015 hits	$27,526	not computed	48	Small	Pin Multiplayer + Sandbox
13	Co-op + FPS31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	31 in 10010 hits	$3,717	not computed	32	Small	Pin Co-op + FPS
14	FMV + RPG31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	31 in 10015 hits	$28,961	not computed	49	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + RPG
15	Base Building + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	30 in 10021 hits	$21,570	not computed	70	none	Pin Base Building + Management
16	Historical + Simulation30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 57 launches	30 in 10017 hits	$4,859	not computed	57	1-hit	Pin Historical + Simulation
17	Co-op + PvE29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	29 in 10018 hits	$9,410	not computed	62	none	Pin Co-op + PvE
18	City Builder + RTS29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	29 in 1009 hits	$6,050	not computed	31	Small	Pin City Builder + RTS
19	Co-op + Shooter29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	29 in 10011 hits	$3,643	not computed	38	1-hitSmall	Pin Co-op + Shooter
20	Co-op + Survival29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	29 in 10013 hits	$13,963	not computed	45	1-hitSmall	Pinned Co-op + Survival
21	Base Building + RPG29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	29 in 10010 hits	$9,111	not computed	35	Small	Pinned Base Building + RPG
22	Base Building + Survival28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 92 launches	28 in 10026 hits	$18,938	not computed	92	none	Pin Base Building + Survival
23	Immersive Sim + Multiplayer28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	28 in 10011 hits	$18,073	not computed	39	Small	Pin Immersive Sim + Multiplayer
24	Life Sim + Open World28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	28 in 10011 hits	$6,069	not computed	39	SmallAudience	Pin Life Sim + Open World
25	Open World Survival Craft + Survival28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	28 in 10011 hits	$25,194	not computed	39	Small	Pin Open World Survival Craft + Survival

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 4,039 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.