Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets1,728 out Hide small samples2,639 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 10+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	FMV + Immersive Sim14 of 29 launches earned $100k+	14 of 2914 hits	$97,978	not computed	29	Small	Pin FMV + Immersive Sim
2	Cinematic + FMV45 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	45 in 10014 hits	$66,831	not computed	31	SmallAudience	Pin Cinematic + FMV
3	Base Building + Multiplayer9 of 20 launches earned $100k+	9 of 209 hits	$57,674	not computed	20	1-hitSmall	Pin Base Building + Multiplayer
4	FMV + Multiple Endings13 of 29 launches earned $100k+	13 of 2913 hits	$68,411	not computed	29	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + Multiple Endings
5	Management + Open World11 of 27 launches earned $100k+	11 of 2711 hits	$43,014	not computed	27	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Management + Open World
6	Co-op + Open World11 of 28 launches earned $100k+	11 of 2811 hits	$75,659	not computed	28	1-hitSmall	Pin Co-op + Open World
7	Co-op + Sandbox11 of 29 launches earned $100k+	11 of 2911 hits	$38,616	not computed	29	SmallAudience	Pin Co-op + Sandbox
8	Crafting + Multiplayer9 of 24 launches earned $100k+	9 of 249 hits	$37,241	not computed	24	1-hitSmall	Pin Crafting + Multiplayer
9	Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox8 of 22 launches earned $100k+	8 of 228 hits	$47,961	not computed	22	SmallAudience	Pin Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox
10	Base Building + Open World Survival Craft9 of 25 launches earned $100k+	9 of 259 hits	$47,657	not computed	25	1-hitSmall	Pin Base Building + Open World Survival Craft
11	Management + Multiplayer9 of 25 launches earned $100k+	9 of 259 hits	$18,453	not computed	25	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + Multiplayer
12	Medieval + Sandbox10 of 28 launches earned $100k+	10 of 2810 hits	$26,717	not computed	28	Small	Pin Medieval + Sandbox
13	Base Building + Open World35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	35 in 10017 hits	$18,938	not computed	48	1-hitSmall	Pin Base Building + Open World
14	FMV + Visual Novel35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	35 in 10017 hits	$41,726	not computed	49	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + Visual Novel
15	Online Co-Op + Sandbox34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	34 in 10011 hits	$47,961	not computed	32	Small	Pin Online Co-Op + Sandbox
16	Character Customization + Open World34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	34 in 10012 hits	$4,553	not computed	35	1-hitSmall	Pin Character Customization + Open World
17	Base Building + Exploration33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches	33 in 10023 hits	$9,714	not computed	69	Audience	Pin Base Building + Exploration
18	FMV + First-Person33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	33 in 10010 hits	$43,597	not computed	30	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + First-Person
19	Cozy + Story Rich9 of 27 launches earned $100k+	9 of 279 hits	$24,883	not computed	27	SmallAudience	Pin Cozy + Story Rich
20	Base Building + Crafting33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches	33 in 10028 hits	$21,307	not computed	85	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Crafting
21	Dating Sim + FMV33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	33 in 10013 hits	$41,394	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin Dating Sim + FMV
22	Co-op + Roguelite32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	32 in 10012 hits	$16,996	not computed	37	Small	Pin Co-op + Roguelite
23	Building + Multiplayer9 of 28 launches earned $100k+	9 of 289 hits	$38,616	not computed	28	SmallAudience	Pin Building + Multiplayer
24	Base Building + Sandbox32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 94 launches	32 in 10030 hits	$13,963	not computed	94	Audience	Pin Base Building + Sandbox
25	Military + Tactical6 of 19 launches earned $100k+	6 of 196 hits	$8,944	not computed	19	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Military + Tactical

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 5,145 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.