Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Turn-Based Strategy + Top-Down: a typical launch earns $304 in its first year

That is the median of 49 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 106 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 77% on the year before: 110 against 62.

Price: $304
Price vs a year earlier: −31.6%
Releases, 12 months: 110
Upcoming games: 255
Games on the store: 644

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Turn-Based Strategy + Top-Down on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.06%	16 ranked of 255 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,472 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.84xhits against expected	0.58x to 1.36x	106 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#3,810 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 6.5

Launches: 106
Hit rate: 4.7%1.1% to 10.0%
Expected rate: 6.1%
Against expected: 0.84x0.58x to 1.36x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

106 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $343
Top tenth: $12,288

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 110
Prior 12 months: 62

Change: +77%

Parent tags

Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Top-DownNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Turn-Based Strategy

pairs with Turn-Based Strategy

Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Turn-Based Strategy

More with Top-Down

pairs with Top-Down

Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Top-Down

Verdicts

in development

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