Turn-Based Strategy + Strategy RPG: a typical launch earns $795 in its first year

That is the median of 104 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 17 of 191 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 19.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 20% on the year before: 158 against 132.

Price: $795
Price vs a year earlier: −67.3%
Releases, 12 months: 158
Upcoming games: 520
Games on the store: 1,248

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Turn-Based Strategy + Strategy RPG on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.35%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.17% to 0.66%	51 ranked of 520 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,688 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.90xhits against expected	0.65x to 1.24x	191 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#3,429 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−19% to +29%	55 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,320 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−9%review growth against same-age games	−18% to +1%	55 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,258 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 17
Expected: 19.3

Launches: 191
Hit rate: 8.9%6.3% to 13.1%
Expected rate: 10.1%
Against expected: 0.90x0.65x to 1.24x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

191 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $1,638
Top tenth: $63,319

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 158
Prior 12 months: 132

Change: +20%
Against Steam: −12%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Strategy RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Turn-Based Strategy

pairs with Turn-Based Strategy

Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Turn-Based Strategy

More with Strategy RPG

pairs with Strategy RPG

Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Combat + Strategy RPG$3,13235 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Strategy RPG + Tactical RPG$2,26889 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Strategy RPG$2,14240 launches priced, 106 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Strategy RPG$1,60552 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Party-Based RPG + Strategy RPG$1,01135 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Strategy RPG

Verdicts

in development

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