Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Turn-Based Strategy / Choices Matter
Turn-Based Strategy + Choices Matter: 57 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 6 of 59 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 73% on the year before: 57 against 33.
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 57 33 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 158 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 346 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.07% | 17 ranked of 159 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,299 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.11xhits against expected | 0.76x to 1.72x | 59 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,134 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −9%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −41% to +27% | 21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,720 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +9%review growth against same-age games | −3% to +25% | 21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,606 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 59
- Hit rate
- 10.2%5.0% to 19.0%
- Expected rate
- 8.6%
- Against expected
- 1.11x0.76x to 1.72x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
59 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $9
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $102,174
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +73%
- Against Steam
- +20%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Choices MatterNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Quasimorph (opens the Steam store)2023 · 7,257 reviews, 82% positiveest. $3.6M
- Solium Infernum (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,574 reviews, 88% positiveest. $1.3M
- SKALD: Against the Black Priory (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,339 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1M
- Arco (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,195 reviews, 96% positiveest. $889k
- Aether & Iron (opens the Steam store)2026 · 530 reviews, 84% positiveest. $268k
- Dice With Death (opens the Steam store)2025 · 784 reviews, 91% positiveest. $222k
- Pyrene (opens the Steam store)2024 · 679 reviews, 92% positiveest. $206k
- Dawnfolk (opens the Steam store)2025 · 667 reviews, 94% positiveest. $202k
More with Turn-Based Strategy
pairs with Turn-Based Strategy- Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
More with Choices Matter
pairs with Choices Matter- Choices Matter + Management$6,87135 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
- Choices Matter + Dating Sim$4,06442 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Choices Matter$3,339128 launches priced, 212 releases in 12 months
- Character Customization + Choices Matter$3,15735 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Choices Matter$3,038225 launches priced, 352 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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