Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Top-Down Shooter + Top-Down: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year

That is the median of 158 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 328 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 21% on the year before: 230 against 190.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $202
Price vs a year earlier: −33.4%
Releases, 12 months: 230
Upcoming games: 673
Games on the store: 1,889

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Top-Down Shooter + Top-Down on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.24%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.10% to 0.40%	24 ranked of 675 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,912 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.59xhits against expected	0.40x to 0.96x	328 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,311 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−12% to +23%	21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,327 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−8%review growth against same-age games	−13% to −3%	21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,214 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 10.7

Launches: 328
Hit rate: 1.5%0.3% to 2.7%
Expected rate: 3.3%
Against expected: 0.59x0.40x to 0.96x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

328 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $191
Top tenth: $5,363

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 230
Prior 12 months: 190

Change: +21%
Against Steam: −11%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Top-Down ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Top-DownNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Top-Down Shooter

pairs with Top-Down Shooter

Roguelite + Top-Down Shooter$1,010116 launches priced, 189 releases in 12 months
Top-Down Shooter + Twin Stick Shooter$90973 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
Top-Down Shooter + Bullet Hell$809179 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
Action RPG + Top-Down Shooter$72833 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
Top-Down Shooter + Action Roguelike$687150 launches priced, 242 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Top-Down Shooter$443111 launches priced, 155 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Top-Down Shooter

More with Top-Down

pairs with Top-Down

Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Top-Down

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.