Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Top-Down + 2.5D: a typical launch earns $253 in its first year
That is the median of 36 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 67 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 36% on the year before: 64 against 47.
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $253 median of 36 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −48.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 64 47 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 153 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 383 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.07% | 10 ranked of 153 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #6,436 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.02xhits against expected | 0.72x to 1.73x | 67 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #6,049 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 67
- Hit rate
- 4.5%1.5% to 10.5%
- Expected rate
- 4.3%
- Against expected
- 1.02x0.72x to 1.73x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
67 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $303
- Top tenth
- $7,439
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +36%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Cinderia (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,856 reviews, 88% positiveest. $1.3M
- JIANGHU CHRONICLES (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,047 reviews, 70% positiveest. $454k
- Super Woden: Rally Edge (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,565 reviews, 96% positiveest. $412k
- Super Woden GP 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 989 reviews, 88% positiveest. $260k
- E-Shop Tycoon (opens the Steam store)2026 · 630 reviews, 72% positiveest. $178k
- Project Rebearth (opens the Steam store)2026 · 186 reviews, 70% positiveest. $68k
- SharedScreen Wagons 2 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 52 reviews, 98% positiveest. $11k
- Psyvariar 3 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 24 reviews, 83% positiveest. $1k to $10k
More with Top-Down
pairs with Top-Down- Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
More with 2.5D
pairs with 2.5D- Exploration + 2.5D$1,16951 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
- Pixel Graphics + 2.5D$80943 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Cute + 2.5D$70745 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + 2.5D$68790 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Platformer + 2.5D$60750 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + 2.5D$60744 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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