Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Survival + Roguelite: a typical launch earns $1,133 in its first year
That is the median of 65 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 159 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 78% on the year before: 128 against 72.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $1,133 median of 65 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −35.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 128 72 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 328 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 751 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.09%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.13% | 15 ranked of 328 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,838 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.87xhits against expected | 0.59x to 1.45x | 159 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,654 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −40%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −57% to −23% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,276 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −24%review growth against same-age games | −39% to −12% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,567 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 159
- Hit rate
- 2.5%0.6% to 6.6%
- Expected rate
- 3.2%
- Against expected
- 0.87x0.59x to 1.45x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
159 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $908
- Top tenth
- $17,039
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +78%
- Against Steam
- +28%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Megabonk (opens the Steam store)2025 · 100,637 reviews, 94% positiveest. $20M
- Everything is Crab: The Animal Evolution Roguelite (opens the Steam store)2026 · 6,950 reviews, 76% positiveest. $1.2M
- dotAGE (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,560 reviews, 94% positiveest. $866k
- EverSiege: Untold Ages (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,923 reviews, 68% positiveest. $778k
- DIVE or DIE - Children of Rain (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,297 reviews, 91% positiveest. $472k
- Arms of God (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,904 reviews, 88% positiveest. $443k
- Hell Maiden (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,888 reviews, 90% positiveest. $382k
- FatalZone (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,127 reviews, 66% positiveest. $280k
More with Survival
pairs with Survival- Survival + Open World Survival Craft$18,44140 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Colony Sim$9,88130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Co-op$7,36134 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Base Building$6,75592 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Open World$5,44390 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
- Building + Survival$4,85567 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
More with Roguelite
pairs with Roguelite- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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