Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Survival + Roguelike: a typical launch earns $1,299 in its first year
That is the median of 67 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 133 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 36% on the year before: 103 against 76.
- Price
- $1,299 median of 67 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −8.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 103 76 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 261 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 633 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.08% | 12 ranked of 261 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,530 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.26xhits against expected | 0.86x to 1.92x | 133 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,506 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −4%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −24% to +23% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,559 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −5%review growth against same-age games | −15% to +6% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,046 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 133
- Hit rate
- 6.0%2.3% to 11.6%
- Expected rate
- 4.3%
- Against expected
- 1.26x0.86x to 1.92x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
133 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $808
- Top tenth
- $53,350
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +36%
- Against Steam
- −2%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Megabonk (opens the Steam store)2025 · 100,637 reviews, 94% positiveest. $20M
- Everything is Crab: The Animal Evolution Roguelite (opens the Steam store)2026 · 6,950 reviews, 76% positiveest. $1.2M
- Bootstrap Island (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,377 reviews, 81% positiveest. $697k
- Card Survival: Fantasy Forest (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,141 reviews, 76% positiveest. $508k
- Arms of God (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,904 reviews, 88% positiveest. $443k
- LET IT DIE: INFERNO (opens the Steam store)2025 · 794 reviews, 52% positiveest. $402k
- Hell Maiden (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,888 reviews, 90% positiveest. $382k
- Gnomes (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,772 reviews, 94% positiveest. $358k
More with Survival
pairs with Survival- Survival + Open World Survival Craft$18,44140 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Colony Sim$9,88130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Co-op$7,36134 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Base Building$6,75592 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Survival + Open World$5,44390 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
- Building + Survival$4,85567 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
More with Roguelike
pairs with Roguelike- Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,25299 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Roguelike$4,45040 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Anime$4,38831 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Auto Battler$3,39375 launches priced, 156 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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