Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Space + Arcade: a typical launch earns $101 in its first year
That is the median of 89 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 171 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 35% on the year before: 135 against 100.
- Price
- $101 median of 89 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −50.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 135 100 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 242 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 963 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.74xhits against expected | 0.54x to 1.32x | 171 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,478 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 171
- Hit rate
- 1.2%0.0% to 3.2%
- Expected rate
- 2.2%
- Against expected
- 0.74x0.54x to 1.32x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
171 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $121
- Top tenth
- $2,938
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +35%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Space Rock Breaker (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,723 reviews, 96% positiveest. $279k
- STAR WARS™: Episode I: Jedi Power Battles™ (opens the Steam store)2025 · 358 reviews, 78% positiveest. $145k
- MUSYNX:RETURN (opens the Steam store)2026 · 290 reviews, 74% positiveest. $117k
- Void Miner – Incremental Asteroids Roguelite (opens the Steam store)2025 · 713 reviews, 83% positiveest. $86k
- Truxton Extreme (opens the Steam store)2026 · 95 reviews, 95% positiveest. $48k
- Revolgear Zero (opens the Steam store)2026 · 125 reviews, 98% positiveest. $38k
- Nebulock (opens the Steam store)2025 · 586 reviews, 87% positiveest. $35k
- Orbitmine (opens the Steam store)2026 · 509 reviews, 81% positiveest. $31k
More with Space
pairs with Space- Space + Exploration$2,02365 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- Space + PvE$80933 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Space$70876 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Space$55452 launches priced, 154 releases in 12 months
- Space + Roguelite$45431 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Space + Space Sim$40446 launches priced, 106 releases in 12 months
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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