Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Simulation / RTS
Simulation + RTS: a typical launch earns $594 in its first year
That is the median of 60 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 17 of 113 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 12.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 42% on the year before: 108 against 76.
- Price
- $594 median of 60 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −77.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 108 76 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 291 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 851 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.44%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.20% to 0.71% | 34 ranked of 292 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #542 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.28xhits against expected | 0.94x to 1.73x | 113 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,440 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −1%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −24% to +23% | 41 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,472 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +2%review growth against same-age games | −9% to +17% | 41 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,868 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 113
- Hit rate
- 15.0%7.7% to 25.5%
- Expected rate
- 11.2%
- Against expected
- 1.28x0.94x to 1.73x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
113 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $970
- Top tenth
- $152,332
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +42%
- Against Steam
- +3%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- RTSGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Infection Free Zone (opens the Steam store)2024 · 16,636 reviews, 80% positiveest. $7.6M
- Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,944 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1.5M
- Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles (opens the Steam store)2026 · 647 reviews, 87% positiveest. $524k
- Gold Gold Adventure Gold (opens the Steam store)2025 · 915 reviews, 70% positiveest. $463k
- World Warfare & Economics (opens the Steam store)2023 · 643 reviews, 57% positiveest. $390k
- Celestial Empire (opens the Steam store)2025 · 714 reviews, 89% positiveest. $289k
- Buggos 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 696 reviews, 83% positiveest. $282k
- Darfall (opens the Steam store)2025 · 492 reviews, 71% positiveest. $249k
More with Simulation
pairs with Simulation- Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months
More with RTS
pairs with RTS- RTS + Base Building$13,91454 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- RTS + War$4,48634 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Wargame$3,54550 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Roguelite$3,51736 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Building + RTS$3,03535 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Roguelike$3,03133 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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