Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + Multiple Endings: a typical launch earns $3,072 in its first year

That is the median of 94 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 21 of 195 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 56% on the year before: 173 against 111.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $3,072
Price vs a year earlier: +61.4%
Releases, 12 months: 173
Upcoming games: 414
Games on the store: 962

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + Multiple Endings on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.17%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.11% to 0.24%	38 ranked of 414 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,186 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	1.46xhits against expected	1.09x to 1.97x	195 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,884 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	−17%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−30% to −4%	50 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,930 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	−6%review growth against same-age games	−13% to +2%	50 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,100 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 21
Expected: 13.4

Launches: 195
Hit rate: 10.8%7.1% to 19.1%
Expected rate: 6.9%
Against expected: 1.46x1.09x to 1.97x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

195 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $64
Median: $2,262
Top tenth: $105,864

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 173
Prior 12 months: 111

Change: +56%
Against Steam: +13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Multiple EndingsNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with Multiple Endings

pairs with Multiple Endings

Multiple Endings + Dating Sim$6,57961 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + LGBTQ+$5,85936 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Anime + Multiple Endings$4,54757 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
RPG + Multiple Endings$3,943122 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + Immersive Sim$3,52746 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
Romance + Multiple Endings$3,17648 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Multiple Endings

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.