Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Simulation / Interactive Fiction
Simulation + Interactive Fiction: a typical launch earns $909 in its first year
That is the median of 89 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 20 of 205 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 58% on the year before: 193 against 122.
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- Price
- $909 median of 89 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −36.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 193 122 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 451 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,045 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.08% to 0.13% | 30 ranked of 451 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,756 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.66xhits against expected | 1.23x to 2.24x | 205 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,852 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −18%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −34% to 0% | 33 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,936 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −5%review growth against same-age games | −14% to +5% | 33 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,043 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 205
- Hit rate
- 9.8%5.7% to 17.1%
- Expected rate
- 5.3%
- Against expected
- 1.66x1.23x to 2.24x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
205 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $970
- Top tenth
- $89,346
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +58%
- Against Steam
- +15%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Interactive FictionGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Easy Delivery Co. (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,616 reviews, 95% positiveest. $2.5M
- Mandate Of Heaven (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,466 reviews, 90% positiveest. $967k
- Sweet Home (opens the Steam store)2025 · 10,073 reviews, 94% positiveest. $919k
- Home Safety Hotline (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,767 reviews, 90% positiveest. $840k
- Desktop Explorer (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,222 reviews, 95% positiveest. $749k
- I Am Jesus Christ (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,503 reviews, 87% positiveest. $608k
- Politics The Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,533 reviews, 95% positiveest. $512k
- Love is All Around 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,751 reviews, 83% positiveest. $473k
More with Simulation
pairs with Simulation- Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months
More with Interactive Fiction
pairs with Interactive Fiction- Interactive Fiction + FMV$39,86745 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Interactive Fiction$4,18748 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Interactive Fiction + LGBTQ+$4,04637 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Dating Sim + Interactive Fiction$3,15892 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Romance + Interactive Fiction$3,13063 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Interactive Fiction$2,268207 launches priced, 343 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.