Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + First-Person: a typical launch earns $1,457 in its first year

That is the median of 493 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 98 of 1,006 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 62.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 48% on the year before: 824 against 555.

Price: $1,457
Price vs a year earlier: +18.6%
Releases, 12 months: 824
Upcoming games: 2,069
Games on the store: 4,833

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + First-Person on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	2.91%share of upcoming wishlist heat	2.10% to 3.81%	246 ranked of 2,069 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#68 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.54xhits against expected	1.32x to 1.80x	1,006 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#635 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−14%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−24% to −5%	229 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,854 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−7%review growth against same-age games	−14% to 0%	229 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,109 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 98
Expected: 62.4

Launches: 1,006
Hit rate: 9.7%8.0% to 13.3%
Expected rate: 6.2%
Against expected: 1.54x1.32x to 1.80x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

1,006 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $60
Median: $1,343
Top tenth: $93,230

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 824
Prior 12 months: 555

Change: +48%
Against Steam: +9%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

Verdicts

in development

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