Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + Capitalism: a typical launch earns $2,913 in its first year

That is the median of 93 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 25 of 200 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 14.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 97% on the year before: 231 against 117.

Price: $2,913
Price vs a year earlier: −46.3%
Releases, 12 months: 231
Upcoming games: 451
Games on the store: 964

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + Capitalism on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.26%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.16% to 0.42%	27 ranked of 451 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#862 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.58xhits against expected	1.20x to 2.07x	200 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#589 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−37%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−48% to −26%	38 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,254 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−12%review growth against same-age games	−20% to −3%	38 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,365 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 25
Expected: 14.8

Launches: 200
Hit rate: 12.1%6.2% to 19.6%
Expected rate: 7.4%
Against expected: 1.58x1.20x to 2.07x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

199 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $81
Median: $2,869
Top tenth: $111,311

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 231
Prior 12 months: 117

Change: +97%
Against Steam: +41%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
CapitalismNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with Capitalism

pairs with Capitalism

Capitalism + Immersive Sim$16,42037 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Capitalism + Management$13,15777 launches priced, 165 releases in 12 months
Capitalism + Life Sim$9,99633 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Economy + Capitalism$4,63186 launches priced, 205 releases in 12 months
Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Capitalism$1,31543 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Capitalism

Verdicts

in development

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