Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

Settings
Text size
Game Market DataBuild what sells
Live games
191,514
on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Shooter + Third Person

Niche

Shooter + Third Person

Games tagged both Shooter and Third Person: 230 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Shooter + Third Person priced $10 to $20, last 18 months, hiding samples under 30 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Shooter and beats Third Person.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Shooter + Third Person trails Shooter and beats Third Person: 18.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.5 in 100 for Shooter and 15.0 in 100 for Third Person.

That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.

1STWinner
Tag oneShooter
19.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds19.5 in 100
Typical earnings$8,418
Launches394 / 77 hits
Pair trails by1.1 in 100
2NDRunner-up
This pairShooter + Third Person
18.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.4 in 100
Typical earnings$3,035
Launches38 / 7 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
3RDThird
Tag twomood tagThird Person
15.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.0 in 100
Typical earnings$3,946
Launches273 / 41 hits
Pair leads by3.4 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Third Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 38 games tagged both Shooter and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 18.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.7 for Shooter-only games and 14.5 for Third Person-only games, so the mix trails Shooter alone and beats Third Person alone.

Both: 38 games priced $10 to $20; 18.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,035.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 38 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Forever Winterleads this pair68.5%
PairThe Forever Winter68.5%
ShooterGray Zone Warfare19.2%
Third PersonThe Forever Winter13.7%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Shooter + Third Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • The Forever Winter earned 68.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 230 Shooter + Third Person launches.
  • Shooter is led by Gray Zone Warfare, with 19.2% of its money.
  • It also leads Third Person, with 13.7% of that tag's money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Shooter + Third Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Shooter + Third Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view222 of 230 launchesWithout the breakout229 of 230 launchesLast 18 months108 of 230 launches
Launches counted23012 hits22212 hits22911 hits1085 hits
Earned $100k+5.2 in 1001 in 195.4 in 1001 in 194.8 in 1001 in 214.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings$303top tenth $15,779+$303$303$324
Chance against standardthe yardstick+3.8%0.2 more in 100-7.7%0.4 fewer in 100-11.5%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change+6.9%$21 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Shooter and Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 230 launches.

Launches counted
23012 hits
Earned $100k+
5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$303top tenth $15,779+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 230 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
22212 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
+3.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (68.5% of the money): 229 launches left.

Launches counted
22911 hits
Earned $100k+
4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-7.7%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 108 of 230.

Launches counted
1085 hits
Earned $100k+
4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$324
Chance against standard
-11.5%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+6.9%$21 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Shooter and Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 230 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 230 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (68.5% of the money): 229 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 108 of 230.

Shooter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Shooter through every lens, all prices
ShooterBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view2,534 of 2,618 launchesWithout the breakout2,617 of 2,618 launchesLast 18 months1,346 of 2,618 launches
Launches counted2,618155 hits2,534149 hits2,617154 hits1,34675 hits
Earned $100k+5.9 in 1001 in 175.9 in 1001 in 175.9 in 1001 in 175.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings$363top tenth $20,964+$403$363$324
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-5.1%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+11.0%$40 more0.0%no change-10.7%$39 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 2,618 launches.

Launches counted
2,618155 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$363top tenth $20,964+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 84 of 2,618 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
2,534149 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$403
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
+11.0%$40 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (19.2% of the money): 2,617 launches left.

Launches counted
2,617154 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$363
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,346 of 2,618.

Launches counted
1,34675 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$324
Chance against standard
-5.1%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-10.7%$39 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 2,618 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 84 of 2,618 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (19.2% of the money): 2,617 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,346 of 2,618.

Third Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,564 of 1,628 launchesWithout the breakout1,627 of 1,628 launchesLast 18 months893 of 1,628 launches
Launches counted1,62893 hits1,56491 hits1,62792 hits89348 hits
Earned $100k+5.7 in 1001 in 185.8 in 1001 in 175.7 in 1001 in 185.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$324top tenth $24,288+$364$324$304
Chance against standardthe yardstick+1.8%0.1 more in 1000.0%no change-5.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+12.3%$40 more0.0%no change-6.2%$20 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 1,628 launches.

Launches counted
1,62893 hits
Earned $100k+
5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$324top tenth $24,288+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 1,628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,56491 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$364
Chance against standard
+1.8%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+12.3%$40 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.7% of the money): 1,627 launches left.

Launches counted
1,62792 hits
Earned $100k+
5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$324
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 893 of 1,628.

Launches counted
89348 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$304
Chance against standard
-5.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-6.2%$20 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 1,628 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 1,628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.7% of the money): 1,627 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 893 of 1,628.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Shooter + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.