Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Shooter + 3D: a typical launch earns $243 in its first year

That is the median of 403 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 30 of 784 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 42.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 11% on the year before: 574 against 518.

Price: $243
Price vs a year earlier: −19.8%
Releases, 12 months: 574
Upcoming games: 1,826
Games on the store: 4,651

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Shooter + 3D on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	1.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.85% to 1.51%	127 ranked of 1,826 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#210 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.72xhits against expected	0.55x to 0.94x	784 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,620 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+24%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+8% to +40%	107 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#632 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	+1%review growth against same-age games	−7% to +10%	107 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,907 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 30
Expected: 42.9

Launches: 784
Hit rate: 3.8%3.0% to 5.6%
Expected rate: 5.5%
Against expected: 0.72x0.55x to 0.94x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

784 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $293
Top tenth: $12,048

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 574
Prior 12 months: 518

Change: +11%
Against Steam: −18%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Shooter

pairs with Shooter

Shooter + Cyberpunk$2,57936 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Shooter$2,36739 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Online Co-Op$2,19432 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Shooter$1,82139 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Gore$1,46646 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Shooter

More with 3D

pairs with 3D

3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D

Verdicts

in development

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