Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Roguelite + Cute: a typical launch earns $764 in its first year
That is the median of 90 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 13 of 187 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 50% on the year before: 150 against 100.
- Price
- $764 median of 90 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −71.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 150 100 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 373 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 841 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.12%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.17% | 23 ranked of 373 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,567 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.16xhits against expected | 0.82x to 1.67x | 187 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,925 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −6%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −23% to +12% | 27 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,611 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +3%review growth against same-age games | −5% to +14% | 27 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #686 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 187
- Hit rate
- 7.0%4.1% to 12.7%
- Expected rate
- 5.8%
- Against expected
- 1.16x0.82x to 1.67x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
187 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $20
- Median
- $1,516
- Top tenth
- $51,572
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +50%
- Against Steam
- +9%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Mewgenics (opens the Steam store)2026 · 50,493 reviews, 89% positiveest. $29M
- Sephiria (opens the Steam store)2025 · 12,039 reviews, 94% positiveest. $4M
- (the) Gnorp Apologue (opens the Steam store)2023 · 9,623 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.3M
- Ballionaire (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,406 reviews, 85% positiveest. $601k
- Turnip Boy Robs a Bank (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,893 reviews, 95% positiveest. $575k
- DRAPLINE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,299 reviews, 96% positiveest. $547k
- ShapeHero Factory (opens the Steam store)2024 · 991 reviews, 88% positiveest. $481k
- Snezhinka:Sentinel Girls2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,438 reviews, 96% positiveest. $364k
More with Roguelite
pairs with Roguelite- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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