Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Racing / Automobile Sim
Racing + Automobile Sim: a typical launch earns $404 in its first year
That is the median of 86 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 197 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 15.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 40% on the year before: 137 against 98.
- Price
- $404 median of 86 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −60.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 137 98 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 308 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,140 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.42%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.20% to 0.75% | 38 ranked of 308 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,592 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.92xhits against expected | 0.65x to 1.30x | 197 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,335 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −8%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −25% to +7% | 58 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,682 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −6%review growth against same-age games | −15% to +2% | 58 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,094 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 197
- Hit rate
- 7.1%4.7% to 11.3%
- Expected rate
- 7.9%
- Against expected
- 0.92x0.65x to 1.30x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
197 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $606
- Top tenth
- $44,975
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +40%
- Against Steam
- +2%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- RacingGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Automobile SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Assetto Corsa EVO (opens the Steam store)2025 · 16,629 reviews, 60% positiveest. $13M
- Le Mans Ultimate (opens the Steam store)2024 · 15,337 reviews, 79% positiveest. $12M
- CarX Street (opens the Steam store)2024 · 17,715 reviews, 72% positiveest. $7.2M
- My Winter Car (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18,800 reviews, 94% positiveest. $5.7M
- Assetto Corsa Rally (opens the Steam store)2025 · 8,873 reviews, 87% positiveest. $5.3M
- F1® Manager 2024 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,581 reviews, 83% positiveest. $3.8M
- NASCAR 25 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,787 reviews, 72% positiveest. $1.4M
- Project Motor Racing (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,203 reviews, 46% positiveest. $974k
More with Racing
pairs with Racing- Racing + Realistic$1,56740 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Sports$1,314104 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Multiplayer$60747 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Driving$606121 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Racing + PvP$60645 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Colorful$60567 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
More with Automobile Sim
pairs with Automobile Sim- First-Person + Automobile Sim$1,89130 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Automobile Sim$1,27437 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Immersive Sim + Automobile Sim$1,27431 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Automobile Sim$97180 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Automobile Sim$97192 launches priced, 151 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Automobile Sim$69830 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.