Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Puzzle + Turn-Based Strategy: a typical launch earns $911 in its first year

That is the median of 61 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 137 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 48% on the year before: 108 against 73.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $911
Price vs a year earlier: −14.5%
Releases, 12 months: 108
Upcoming games: 208
Games on the store: 651

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Puzzle + Turn-Based Strategy on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.06%	9 ranked of 208 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,896 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.71xhits against expected	0.48x to 1.16x	137 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,664 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 8.2

Launches: 137
Hit rate: 3.6%1.6% to 6.8%
Expected rate: 6.0%
Against expected: 0.71x0.48x to 1.16x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

137 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $848
Top tenth: $13,981

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 108
Prior 12 months: 73

Change: +48%

Parent tags

PuzzleGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Puzzle

pairs with Puzzle

Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Puzzle

More with Turn-Based Strategy

pairs with Turn-Based Strategy

Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Turn-Based Strategy

Verdicts

in development

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