Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Puzzle + Roguelite: a typical launch earns $909 in its first year
That is the median of 62 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 129 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 77% on the year before: 115 against 65.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $909 median of 62 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +32.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 115 65 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 299 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 633 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.15% | 15 ranked of 299 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,785 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.75xhits against expected | 0.52x to 1.26x | 129 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,384 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 129
- Hit rate
- 3.1%1.5% to 5.8%
- Expected rate
- 4.9%
- Against expected
- 0.75x0.52x to 1.26x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
129 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $909
- Top tenth
- $20,166
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +77%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Blue Prince (opens the Steam store)2025 · 17,606 reviews, 85% positiveest. $11M
- Drop Duchy (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,983 reviews, 89% positiveest. $872k
- Rogue Waters (opens the Steam store)2024 · 975 reviews, 75% positiveest. $592k
- Pronoun Palace (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,299 reviews, 99% positiveest. $522k
- Uncle Chop's Rocket Shop (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,110 reviews, 84% positiveest. $449k
- Titanium Court (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,123 reviews, 94% positiveest. $341k
- Welcome to the Game III (opens the Steam store)2026 · 657 reviews, 77% positiveest. $266k
- MINOS (opens the Steam store)2026 · 547 reviews, 88% positiveest. $199k
More with Puzzle
pairs with Puzzle- Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
More with Roguelite
pairs with Roguelite- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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