Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Puzzle + Cartoony: a typical launch earns $581 in its first year
That is the median of 197 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 362 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 2% on the year before: 227 against 223.
- Price
- $581 median of 197 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +19.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 227 223 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 319 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,354 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.06% | 14 ranked of 319 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,705 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.80xhits against expected | 0.55x to 1.24x | 362 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,105 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +40%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +20% to +62% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #299 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +5%review growth against same-age games | −2% to +13% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,702 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 362
- Hit rate
- 2.2%1.1% to 3.9%
- Expected rate
- 3.0%
- Against expected
- 0.80x0.55x to 1.24x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
362 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $505
- Top tenth
- $4,715
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +2%
- Against Steam
- −25%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- POPUCOM (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,435 reviews, 87% positiveest. $891k
- Braid, Anniversary Edition (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,766 reviews, 92% positiveest. $715k
- Squeakross: Home Squeak Home (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,050 reviews, 98% positiveest. $584k
- Garten of Banban 8: Anti Devil (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,579 reviews, 88% positiveest. $319k
- Garten of Banban 7 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,551 reviews, 83% positiveest. $314k
- Garten of Banban 6 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,273 reviews, 77% positiveest. $258k
- KarmaZoo (opens the Steam store)2023 · 956 reviews, 88% positiveest. $193k
- Sam & Max: The Devil's Playhouse (opens the Steam store)2024 · 429 reviews, 98% positiveest. $174k
More with Puzzle
pairs with Puzzle- Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
More with Cartoony
pairs with Cartoony- Story Rich + Cartoony$2,42632 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cartoony$1,61731 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Cartoony + Cats$78257 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Cartoony + Wholesome$73248 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Cartoony + Cozy$70254 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Cartoony$67451 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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