Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Puzzle + Abstract: a typical launch earns $404 in its first year

That is the median of 110 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 193 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 2% on the year before: 122 against 125.

Price: $404
Price vs a year earlier: +66.5%
Releases, 12 months: 122
Upcoming games: 215
Games on the store: 1,034

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Puzzle + Abstract on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.03%	11 ranked of 216 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#3,349 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.98xhits against expected	0.66x to 1.56x	193 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,922 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+45%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+15% to +86%	32 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#242 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	+5%review growth against same-age games	−1% to +15%	32 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,744 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 6
Expected: 6.2

Launches: 193
Hit rate: 3.1%1.5% to 6.1%
Expected rate: 3.2%
Against expected: 0.98x0.66x to 1.56x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

193 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $404
Top tenth: $15,718

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 122
Prior 12 months: 125

Change: −2%
Against Steam: −28%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

PuzzleGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
AbstractNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Puzzle

pairs with Puzzle

Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Puzzle

More with Abstract

pairs with Abstract

Surreal + Abstract$1,41531 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Abstract$1,21351 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
3D + Abstract$90945 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Abstract$81041 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Abstract$76972 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Abstract$73540 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Abstract

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.