Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Puzzle + 2D: a typical launch earns $303 in its first year
That is the median of 987 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 49 of 1,973 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 74.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 23% on the year before: 1,415 against 1,148.
- Price
- $303 median of 987 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −24.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 1,415 1,148 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 2,221 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 9,260 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.78%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.56% to 1.08% | 97 ranked of 2,222 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #311 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.67xhits against expected | 0.54x to 0.83x | 1,973 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,898 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +10%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +2% to +19% | 234 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,118 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| 0%review growth against same-age games | −6% to +5% | 234 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,994 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 1,973
- Hit rate
- 2.5%1.2% to 3.7%
- Expected rate
- 3.8%
- Against expected
- 0.67x0.54x to 0.83x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
1,973 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $304
- Top tenth
- $7,082
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +23%
- Against Steam
- −9%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- ANIMAL WELL (opens the Steam store)2024 · 22,873 reviews, 95% positiveest. $10M
- Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,391 reviews, 97% positiveest. $2.3M
- Enigma of Fear (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,095 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.9M
- The Rise of the Golden Idol (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,797 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
- SteamWorld Heist II (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,214 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.3M
- Öoo (opens the Steam store)2025 · 6,628 reviews, 99% positiveest. $1.1M
- OneShot: World Machine Edition (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,398 reviews, 98% positiveest. $1.1M
- Lost and Found Co. (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,776 reviews, 96% positiveest. $890k
More with Puzzle
pairs with Puzzle- Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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