Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Psychological + Mystery: a typical launch earns $687 in its first year

That is the median of 56 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 110 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 59% on the year before: 97 against 61.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $687
Price vs a year earlier: −43.3%
Releases, 12 months: 97
Upcoming games: 227
Games on the store: 534

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Psychological + Mystery on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.22%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.08% to 0.39%	19 ranked of 227 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,988 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.95xhits against expected	0.65x to 1.53x	110 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#3,122 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−5%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−26% to +29%	26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,585 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+9%review growth against same-age games	+1% to +15%	26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#364 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 5.4

Launches: 110
Hit rate: 4.5%1.7% to 8.9%
Expected rate: 5.0%
Against expected: 0.95x0.65x to 1.53x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

110 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $38
Median: $970
Top tenth: $29,899

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 97
Prior 12 months: 61

Change: +59%
Against Steam: +14%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

PsychologicalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
MysteryNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Psychological

pairs with Psychological

Psychological + Walking Simulator$1,81661 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
Surreal + Psychological$1,78330 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Psychological$1,57670 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
Psychological + Multiple Endings$1,45530 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
Thriller + Psychological$1,37437 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Psychological$1,354130 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Psychological

More with Mystery

pairs with Mystery

Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Mystery

Verdicts

in development

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