Niche

Open World + Shooter

Games tagged both Open World and Shooter: 74 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Open World + Shooter priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Open World and beats Shooter; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Open World and is too small to compare with Shooter.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Open World + Shooter is too small to compare with Open World and is too small to compare with Shooter: 6 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 29.3 in 100 for Open World and 21.3 in 100 for Shooter.

Small sample: 20 launches, 6 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneOpen World

29.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds29.3 in 100

Typical earnings$25,255

Launches276 / 81 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairOpen World + Shooter

6 of 20launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds6 of 20 launches

$1k+16 of 20 launches

$10k+14 of 20 launches

Launches20 / 6 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoShooter

21.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds21.3 in 100

Typical earnings$9,694

Launches366 / 78 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices74 in pair Under $529 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair $10 to $2020 in pair$20 to $406: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Open World and Shooter priced $10 to $20. 6 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 29.3 in 100 for Open World-only games and 20.8 in 100 for Shooter-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Open World alone and is too small to compare with Shooter alone.

Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 6 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 16 of 20 launches · $10k+ 14 of 20 launches · $100k+ 6 of 20 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Gray Zone Warfareleads this pair91.8%

PairGray Zone Warfare91.8%

Open WorldPalworld29.6%

ShooterGray Zone Warfare18.0%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Open World + Shooter

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Gray Zone Warfare earned 91.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 74 Open World + Shooter launches.
Open World is led by Palworld, with 29.6% of its money.
It also leads Shooter, with 18.0% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Open World + Shooter is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Open World + Shooter through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view71 of 74 launches	Without the breakout73 of 74 launches	Last 18 months12 of 74 launches
Launches counted	7411 hits	7111 hits	7310 hits	121 hits
Earned $100k+	14.9 in 100	15.5 in 100	13.7 in 100	1 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	28 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 45 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+4.2%0.6 more in 100	-7.8%1.2 fewer in 100	-43.9%6.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Open World and Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 74 launches.

Launches counted: 7411 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.9 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 28 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 45 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 74 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7111 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +4.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (91.8% of the money): 73 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 7310 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.7 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -7.8%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 74.

Launches counted: 121 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -43.9%6.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Open World and Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 74 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 74 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (91.8% of the money): 73 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 74.

Open World holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Open World through every lens, all prices
Open World	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view820 of 858 launches	Without the breakout857 of 858 launches	Last 18 months210 of 858 launches
Launches counted	858163 hits	820156 hits	857162 hits	21037 hits
Earned $100k+	19.0 in 100	19.0 in 100	18.9 in 100	17.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,181top tenth $483,712+	$2,280	$2,150	$2,601
Chance against standard	the base	+0.1%no change	-0.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-7.3%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.5%$99 more	-1.4%$31 less	+19.3%$420 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 12 to 36 months old: 858 launches.

Launches counted: 858163 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,181top tenth $483,712+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 858 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 820156 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,280
Chance against standard: +0.1%no change
Typical against standard: +4.5%$99 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (29.6% of the money): 857 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 857162 hits
Earned $100k+: 18.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,150
Chance against standard: -0.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.4%$31 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 210 of 858.

Launches counted: 21037 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,601
Chance against standard: -7.3%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +19.3%$420 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 12 to 36 months old: 858 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 858 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (29.6% of the money): 857 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 210 of 858.

Shooter holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Shooter through every lens, all prices
Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,392 of 2,482 launches	Without the breakout2,481 of 2,482 launches	Last 18 months635 of 2,482 launches
Launches counted	2,482153 hits	2,392147 hits	2,481152 hits	63541 hits
Earned $100k+	6.2 in 1001 in 16	6.1 in 1001 in 16	6.1 in 1001 in 16	6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$319top tenth $24,188+	$325	$319	$291
Chance against standard	the base	-0.3%no change	-0.6%no change	+4.7%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.9%$6 more	0.0%no change	-8.8%$28 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 2,482 launches.

Launches counted: 2,482153 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $319top tenth $24,188+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 90 of 2,482 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,392147 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $325
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: +1.9%$6 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (18.0% of the money): 2,481 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,481152 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $319
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 635 of 2,482.

Launches counted: 63541 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $291
Chance against standard: +4.7%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: -8.8%$28 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 2,482 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 90 of 2,482 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (18.0% of the money): 2,481 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 635 of 2,482.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Open World + Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.