Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Open World / Sandbox
Open World + Sandbox: a typical launch earns $5,607 in its first year
That is the median of 105 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 55 of 215 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 30.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 37% on the year before: 162 against 118.
- Price
- $5,607 median of 105 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −51.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 162 118 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 688 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,683 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 5.85%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 1.93% to 12.85% | 152 ranked of 688 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,879 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.75xhits against expected | 1.45x to 2.08x | 215 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #332 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −24% to +18% | 126 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,533 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −2%review growth against same-age games | −10% to +6% | 126 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,141 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 215
- Hit rate
- 25.6%21.6% to 33.7%
- Expected rate
- 14.0%
- Against expected
- 1.75x1.45x to 2.08x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
215 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $109
- Median
- $8,234
- Top tenth
- $741,427
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +37%
- Against Steam
- 0%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Open WorldNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- SandboxGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Paralives (opens the Steam store)2026 · 20,301 reviews, 89% positiveest. $16M
- Big Walk (opens the Steam store)2026 · 35,314 reviews, 96% positiveest. $14M
- Soulmask (opens the Steam store)2026 · 18,501 reviews, 76% positiveest. $10M
- The Last Caretaker (opens the Steam store)2025 · 13,344 reviews, 86% positiveest. $9.4M
- Goat Simulator 3 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 13,856 reviews, 97% positiveest. $7.7M
- CarX Street (opens the Steam store)2024 · 17,715 reviews, 72% positiveest. $7.2M
- VEIN (opens the Steam store)2025 · 11,699 reviews, 87% positiveest. $4.7M
- The Precinct (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,894 reviews, 87% positiveest. $4.6M
More with Open World
pairs with Open World- Open World + Multiplayer$15,60236 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Open World Survival Craft$14,79431 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Life Sim$13,38736 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Crafting$7,48760 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Open World$6,51131 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Building + Open World$5,98741 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
More with Sandbox
pairs with Sandbox- Sandbox + Multiplayer$32,53338 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Resource Management$18,39749 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Economy$15,26966 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Management$11,910116 launches priced, 204 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + City Builder$11,53977 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Colony Sim$10,01834 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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