Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Medieval + RPG
Games tagged both Medieval and RPG: 230 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Medieval + RPG priced $10 to $20, last 18 months, hiding samples under 30 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Medieval and is level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is level with Medieval and beats RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Medieval + RPG is level with Medieval and beats RPG: 24.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.6 in 100 for Medieval and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.
That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 37 games tagged both Medieval and RPG priced $10 to $20. 24.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 24.7 for Medieval-only games and 18.2 for RPG-only games, so the mix is level with Medieval alone and beats RPG alone.
Both: 37 games priced $10 to $20; 24.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $12,142.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 37 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Medieval + RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view207 of 230 launches | Without the breakout229 of 230 launches | Last 18 months139 of 230 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 23017 hits | 20717 hits | 22916 hits | 13911 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $467top tenth $33,598+ | $405 | $424 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +10.8%0.8 more in 100 | -5.4%0.4 fewer in 100 | +6.8%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -13.3%$62 less | -9.2%$43 less | -13.3%$62 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Medieval and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 230 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 230 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Pax Dei (27.3% of the money): 229 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 139 of 230.
Medieval holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Medieval | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view668 of 715 launches | Without the breakout714 of 715 launches | Last 18 months403 of 715 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 71557 hits | 66856 hits | 71456 hits | 40336 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $63,423+ | $606 | $606 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +5.0%0.4 more in 100 | -2.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | +11.2%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +0.2%$1 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Medieval, 6 to 30 months old: 715 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Half Sword (20.9% of the money): 714 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 403 of 715.
RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launches | Without the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launches | Last 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,151319 hits | 3,513268 hits | 4,150318 hits | 2,257162 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $708top tenth $62,744+ | $728 | $708 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$101 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Medieval + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.