Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
JRPG + Top-Down: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 32 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 72 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 14% on the year before: 42 against 37.
- Price
- $405 median of 32 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +0.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 42 37 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 133 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 371 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.03%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.03% | 13 ranked of 133 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,177 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.67xhits against expected | 0.47x to 1.13x | 72 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,922 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 72
- Hit rate
- 4.2%0.0% to 7.7%
- Expected rate
- 8.3%
- Against expected
- 0.67x0.47x to 1.13x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
72 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $405
- Top tenth
- $19,935
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +14%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Lost Eidolons: Veil of the Witch (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,312 reviews, 81% positiveest. $664k
- Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,790 reviews, 98% positiveest. $504k
- Anode Heart (opens the Steam store)2023 · 438 reviews, 90% positiveest. $160k
- 绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ (opens the Steam store)2025 · 701 reviews, 88% positiveest. $101k
- Ys vs. Trails in the Sky: Alternative Saga (opens the Steam store)2025 · 59 reviews, 94% positiveest. $42k
- WonderLang Polyglot (opens the Steam store)2025 · 37 reviews, 81% positiveest. $10k to $100k
- Heavy Spoilers RPG 2: Your best friend is actually the great demon king (opens the Steam store)2025 · 124 reviews, 92% positiveest. $23k
- KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - (opens the Steam store)2025 · 37 reviews, 64% positiveest. $10k to $100k
More with JRPG
pairs with JRPG- JRPG + Female Protagonist$6,70840 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + JRPG$3,22737 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + JRPG$2,42851 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- JRPG + Cute$2,42841 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + JRPG$2,20440 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Anime + JRPG$1,71895 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
More with Top-Down
pairs with Top-Down- Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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