Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Hand-drawn + Simulation
Hand-drawn + Simulation
Games tagged both Hand-drawn and Simulation: 103 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Hand-drawn + Simulation priced $10 to $20, last 18 months, hiding samples under 100 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Hand-drawn and is level with Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
15 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
15 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Hand-drawn and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 26.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.6 for Hand-drawn-only games and 21.4 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 26.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $30,355.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Hand-drawn + Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view96 of 103 launches | Without the breakout102 of 103 launches | Last 18 months58 of 103 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1038 hits | 968 hits | 1027 hits | 584 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $787top tenth $63,155+ | $969 | $787 | $647 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.4%0.5 more in 100 | -11.5%0.9 fewer in 100 | -11.5%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +23.1%$182 more | 0.0%no change | -17.8%$140 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Hand-drawn and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 103 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 103 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Bookshop (54.4% of the money): 102 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 58 of 103.
Hand-drawn holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Hand-drawn | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,125 of 1,182 launches | Without the breakout1,181 of 1,182 launches | Last 18 months593 of 1,182 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,18259 hits | 1,12558 hits | 1,18158 hits | 59324 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $31,652+ | $842 | $809 | $787 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.0%0.2 more in 100 | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -20.0%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$33 more | 0.0%no change | -2.7%$22 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Hand-drawn, 6 to 30 months old: 1,182 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 57 of 1,182 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Nine Sols (37.2% of the money): 1,181 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 593 of 1,182.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Hand-drawn + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.