Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
FPS + Shooter: a typical launch earns $674 in its first year
That is the median of 397 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 78 of 805 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 59.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 14% on the year before: 598 against 523.
- Price
- $674 median of 397 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +11.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 598 523 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,877 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 5,493 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 4.93%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 2.51% to 7.85% | 212 ranked of 1,877 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #32 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.31xhits against expected | 1.10x to 1.55x | 805 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,334 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +20%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +7% to +36% | 245 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #748 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +2%review growth against same-age games | −7% to +10% | 245 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #743 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 805
- Hit rate
- 9.7%9.5% to 11.2%
- Expected rate
- 7.3%
- Against expected
- 1.31x1.10x to 1.55x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
805 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $607
- Top tenth
- $83,597
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +14%
- Against Steam
- −16%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- WARDOGS (opens the Steam store)2026 · 84,875 reviews, 76% positiveest. $67M
- Gray Zone Warfare (opens the Steam store)2024 · 69,275 reviews, 72% positiveest. $55M
- Bodycam (opens the Steam store)2024 · 63,261 reviews, 80% positiveest. $42M
- RoboCop: Rogue City (opens the Steam store)2023 · 28,380 reviews, 86% positiveest. $22M
- Witchfire (opens the Steam store)2024 · 17,213 reviews, 91% positiveest. $14M
- GROUND BRANCH (opens the Steam store)2026 · 22,430 reviews, 83% positiveest. $13M
- Killing Floor 3 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 16,543 reviews, 46% positiveest. $13M
- Far Far West (opens the Steam store)2026 · 31,677 reviews, 95% positiveest. $13M
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with Shooter
pairs with Shooter- Shooter + Cyberpunk$2,57936 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Shooter$2,36739 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Online Co-Op$2,19432 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Shooter$1,82139 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Gore$1,46646 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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