Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
FPS + Arcade: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 71 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 159 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 28% on the year before: 122 against 95.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $202 median of 71 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −66.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 122 95 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 238 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 835 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.03%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.05% | 8 ranked of 238 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,975 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.80xhits against expected | 0.54x to 1.30x | 159 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,100 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 159
- Hit rate
- 3.1%1.2% to 5.1%
- Expected rate
- 4.4%
- Against expected
- 0.80x0.54x to 1.30x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
159 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $404
- Top tenth
- $10,376
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +28%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- MULLET MADJACK (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,275 reviews, 97% positiveest. $3.3M
- Anger Foot (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,606 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
- ODDCORE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,113 reviews, 96% positiveest. $293k
- Guns and Nuns: Storming Hell (opens the Steam store)2026 · 926 reviews, 88% positiveest. $187k
- Rhythia (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,143 reviews, 84% positiveest. $173k
- KEEP GAMBLING (opens the Steam store)2025 · 976 reviews, 74% positiveest. $154k
- TAMASHIKA (opens the Steam store)2026 · 321 reviews, 81% positiveest. $130k
- Shooters, Ready! (opens the Steam store)2025 · 810 reviews, 99% positiveest. $82k
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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