Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
FPS + 3D: a typical launch earns $505 in its first year
That is the median of 344 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 30 of 657 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 30.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 5% on the year before: 469 against 447.
- Price
- $505 median of 344 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +24.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 469 447 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,513 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 3,665 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 1.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.79% to 1.31% | 105 ranked of 1,513 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #224 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.97xhits against expected | 0.75x to 1.27x | 657 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,942 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +18%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +3% to +36% | 99 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #807 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −9%review growth against same-age games | −15% to −3% | 99 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,242 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 657
- Hit rate
- 4.6%3.7% to 5.5%
- Expected rate
- 4.7%
- Against expected
- 0.97x0.75x to 1.27x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
657 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $424
- Top tenth
- $14,048
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +5%
- Against Steam
- −23%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Liar's Bar (opens the Steam store)2024 · 48,761 reviews, 89% positiveest. $6.2M
- STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,125 reviews, 23% positiveest. $5.1M
- Outpost: Infinity Siege (opens the Steam store)2024 · 11,647 reviews, 65% positiveest. $4.2M
- Echo Point Nova (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,567 reviews, 96% positiveest. $3.8M
- MechWarrior 5: Clans (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,585 reviews, 74% positiveest. $3.4M
- Over The Top: WWI (opens the Steam store)2026 · 6,708 reviews, 84% positiveest. $2.6M
- Project Silverfish (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,154 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.9M
- High On Life 2 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,219 reviews, 71% positiveest. $1.8M
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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