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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / First-Person + RPG

Niche

First-Person + RPG

Games tagged both First-Person and RPG: 289 indie paid launches, 30 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing First-Person + RPG priced $10 to $20, without the breakout, hiding samples under 30 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

First-Person + RPG beats both its tags: 24.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.2 in 100 for First-Person and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.

That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tagFirst-Person
23.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.2 in 100
Typical earnings$10,321
Launches599 / 139 hits
Pair leads by1.5 in 100
1STWinner
This pairFirst-Person + RPG
24.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.7 in 100
Typical earnings$14,978
Launches77 / 19 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
3RDThird
Tag twoRPG
18.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.5 in 100
Typical earnings$10,017
Launches881 / 163 hits
Pair leads by6.2 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 77 games tagged both First-Person and RPG priced $10 to $20. 24.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.0 for First-Person-only games and 17.9 for RPG-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 77 games priced $10 to $20; 24.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $14,978.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 77 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The without the breakout lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Witchfireleads this pair38.0%
PairWitchfire38.0%
First-PersonSchedule I16.7%
RPGPath of Exile 216.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads First-Person + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Witchfire earned 38.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 289 First-Person + RPG launches.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 16.7% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

First-Person + RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

First-Person + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view225 of 289 launchesWithout the breakout288 of 289 launchesLast 18 months149 of 289 launches
Launches counted28930 hits22524 hits28829 hits14915 hits
Earned $100k+10.4 in 10010.7 in 10010.1 in 10010.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,274top tenth $122,846+$1,274$1,274$850
Chance against standardthe yardstick+2.9%0.3 more in 100-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-33.3%$424 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 289 launches.

Launches counted
28930 hits
Earned $100k+
10.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,274top tenth $122,846+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 289 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
22524 hits
Earned $100k+
10.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,274
Chance against standard
+2.9%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Witchfire (38.0% of the money): 288 launches left.

Launches counted
28829 hits
Earned $100k+
10.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,274
Chance against standard
-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 149 of 289.

Launches counted
14915 hits
Earned $100k+
10.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$850
Chance against standard
-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-33.3%$424 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 289 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 289 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Witchfire (38.0% of the money): 288 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 149 of 289.

First-Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,135 of 4,266 launchesWithout the breakout4,265 of 4,266 launchesLast 18 months2,372 of 4,266 launches
Launches counted4,266296 hits4,135284 hits4,265295 hits2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+6.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$849top tenth $40,885+$849$849$728
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change0.0%no change
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-14.3%$121 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.

Launches counted
4,266296 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849top tenth $40,885+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,135284 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.

Launches counted
4,265295 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

Launches counted
2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-14.3%$121 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launchesWithout the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launchesLast 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches
Launches counted4,151319 hits3,513268 hits4,150318 hits2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+7.7 in 1001 in 137.6 in 1001 in 137.7 in 1001 in 137.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$708top tenth $62,744+$728$708$607
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.3%0.1 fewer in 1000.0%no change-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+2.8%$20 more0.0%no change-14.3%$101 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.

Launches counted
4,151319 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708top tenth $62,744+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,513268 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.8%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.

Launches counted
4,150318 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

Launches counted
2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$607
Chance against standard
-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$101 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when First-Person + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.