Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

First-Person + Mystery: a typical launch earns $1,059 in its first year

That is the median of 176 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 21 of 371 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 17.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 44% on the year before: 285 against 198.

Price: $1,059
Price vs a year earlier: −34.5%
Releases, 12 months: 285
Upcoming games: 663
Games on the store: 1,688

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

First-Person + Mystery on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.25%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.16% to 0.37%	42 ranked of 663 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#908 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.17xhits against expected	0.87x to 1.59x	371 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,873 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−5%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−19% to +12%	53 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,589 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	0%review growth against same-age games	−8% to +9%	53 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#805 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 21
Expected: 17.4

Launches: 371
Hit rate: 5.7%3.1% to 9.2%
Expected rate: 4.7%
Against expected: 1.17x0.87x to 1.59x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

371 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $60
Median: $970
Top tenth: $24,260

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 285
Prior 12 months: 198

Change: +44%
Against Steam: +5%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
MysteryNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

More with Mystery

pairs with Mystery

Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Mystery

Verdicts

in development

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