Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

First-Person + Detective: a typical launch earns $910 in its first year

That is the median of 62 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 123 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases held level on the year before: 67 against 67.

Price: $910
Price vs a year earlier: −37.5%
Releases, 12 months: 67
Upcoming games: 204
Games on the store: 576

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

First-Person + Detective on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.15%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.09% to 0.23%	20 ranked of 204 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,307 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.97xhits against expected	0.66x to 1.50x	123 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,973 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+50%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+11% to +87%	16 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#180 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+11%review growth against same-age games	+1% to +20%	16 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#267 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 7
Expected: 7.3

Launches: 123
Hit rate: 5.7%3.9% to 12.3%
Expected rate: 6.0%
Against expected: 0.97x0.66x to 1.50x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

123 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $89
Median: $1,092
Top tenth: $36,014

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 67
Prior 12 months: 67

Change: 0%
Against Steam: −26%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
DetectiveNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

More with Detective

pairs with Detective

Visual Novel + Detective$5,29368 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Detective$4,125108 launches priced, 153 releases in 12 months
Detective + Investigation$3,96395 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
Point & Click + Detective$2,10470 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Detective$1,94182 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Detective

Verdicts

in development

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