Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Fantasy + Medieval: a typical launch earns $485 in its first year
That is the median of 105 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 200 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 11.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 27% on the year before: 164 against 129.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $485 median of 105 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −25.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 164 129 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 486 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,171 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.25%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.18% to 0.39% | 40 ranked of 486 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #875 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.78xhits against expected | 0.54x to 1.20x | 200 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,235 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 200
- Hit rate
- 4.0%1.5% to 7.8%
- Expected rate
- 5.5%
- Against expected
- 0.78x0.54x to 1.20x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
200 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $505
- Top tenth
- $11,773
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +27%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Kingdom Rush 6: Genesis TD (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,912 reviews, 65% positiveest. $822k
- Naheulbeuk's Dungeon Master (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,303 reviews, 73% positiveest. $659k
- Border Pioneer (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,681 reviews, 86% positiveest. $510k
- Blackthorn Arena: Reforged (opens the Steam store)2024 · 883 reviews, 66% positiveest. $447k
- Eslabong (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,270 reviews, 95% positiveest. $386k
- Crown of Greed (opens the Steam store)2026 · 689 reviews, 59% positiveest. $279k
- Loot of Baal (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,374 reviews, 62% positiveest. $250k
- Crimson Oath (opens the Steam store)2026 · 759 reviews, 82% positiveest. $230k
More with Fantasy
pairs with Fantasy- Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Multiple Endings$3,03445 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Female Protagonist$2,18571 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Character Customization$2,14452 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Dungeon Crawler$1,86172 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
More with Medieval
pairs with Medieval- Simulation + Medieval$4,85559 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Management$4,85539 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Base Building$3,94532 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + City Builder$3,71240 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Dark Fantasy$1,63830 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Building + Medieval$1,49734 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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