Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Exploration / JRPG
Exploration + JRPG: a typical launch earns $1,332 in its first year
That is the median of 79 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 154 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 17.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 17% on the year before: 82 against 99.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $1,332 median of 79 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +31.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 82 99 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 361 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 880 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.90%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.30% to 1.50% | 55 ranked of 361 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,337 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.69xhits against expected | 0.48x to 1.00x | 154 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,806 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +63%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +31% to +117% | 50 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #90 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +2%review growth against same-age games | −6% to +10% | 50 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,891 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 154
- Hit rate
- 7.1%3.8% to 14.9%
- Expected rate
- 11.3%
- Against expected
- 0.69x0.48x to 1.00x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
154 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $40
- Median
- $1,011
- Top tenth
- $67,750
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −17%
- Against Steam
- −38%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- ExplorationNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- JRPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Alabaster Dawn (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,203 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1M
- Beastieball (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,494 reviews, 97% positiveest. $756k
- Bloomtown: A Different Story (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,446 reviews, 85% positiveest. $732k
- LumenTale: Memories of Trey (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,143 reviews, 70% positiveest. $694k
- SunnySide (opens the Steam store)2024 · 914 reviews, 67% positiveest. $370k
- Ova Magica (opens the Steam store)2024 · 582 reviews, 91% positiveest. $353k
- Wagotabi: A Japanese Journey (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,571 reviews, 98% positiveest. $318k
- Tunnel Escape (opens the Steam store)2024 · 407 reviews, 77% positiveest. $165k
More with Exploration
pairs with Exploration- Exploration + Cozy$24,01549 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Open World Survival Craft$13,97334 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Exploration$10,40830 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Multiplayer$8,00174 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Online Co-Op$7,08069 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Exploration$5,14762 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
More with JRPG
pairs with JRPG- JRPG + Female Protagonist$6,70840 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + JRPG$3,22737 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + JRPG$2,42851 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- JRPG + Cute$2,42841 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + JRPG$2,20440 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Anime + JRPG$1,71895 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.