Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Emotional + Mystery: a typical launch earns $2,057 in its first year
That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 69 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 38% on the year before: 54 against 39.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $2,057 median of 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −2.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 54 39 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 170 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 389 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.12% | 18 ranked of 170 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,995 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.97xhits against expected | 0.66x to 1.59x | 69 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,986 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −28% to +47% | 17 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,350 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +2%review growth against same-age games | −11% to +15% | 17 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,901 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 69
- Hit rate
- 5.8%1.6% to 18.1%
- Expected rate
- 6.2%
- Against expected
- 0.97x0.66x to 1.59x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
69 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $77
- Median
- $1,214
- Top tenth
- $67,635
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +38%
- Against Steam
- −1%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Until Then (opens the Steam store)2024 · 15,814 reviews, 96% positiveest. $6.2M
- HexBreaker Ⅱ (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,053 reviews, 64% positiveest. $234k
- The Beekeeper's Picnic - A Sherlockian Adventure (opens the Steam store)2025 · 471 reviews, 97% positiveest. $133k
- Mystery Lover:Nonexistent Memories (opens the Steam store)2025 · 357 reviews, 94% positiveest. $101k
- As Long As You're Here (opens the Steam store)2025 · 494 reviews, 99% positiveest. $100k
- Monolith (opens the Steam store)2023 · 323 reviews, 74% positiveest. $98k
- Amazing Grace -What color is your attribute?- (opens the Steam store)2024 · 111 reviews, 91% positiveest. $79k
- Lilja and Natsuka Painting Lies (opens the Steam store)2024 · 156 reviews, 93% positiveest. $73k
More with Emotional
pairs with Emotional- Emotional + Hand-drawn$3,75736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Emotional$3,130121 launches priced, 200 releases in 12 months
- Emotional + Multiple Endings$3,03442 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Emotional$2,67157 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Emotional$2,67167 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Emotional$2,488136 launches priced, 194 releases in 12 months
More with Mystery
pairs with Mystery- Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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