Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Driving + Arcade: a typical launch earns $708 in its first year
That is the median of 71 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 15 of 166 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 77% on the year before: 145 against 82.
- Price
- $708 median of 71 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +9.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 145 82 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 305 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 906 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.21%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.14% to 0.31% | 27 ranked of 305 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,029 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.30xhits against expected | 0.93x to 1.82x | 166 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,363 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −28%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −44% to −12% | 45 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,134 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −8%review growth against same-age games | −15% to −3% | 45 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,190 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 166
- Hit rate
- 9.0%3.7% to 14.0%
- Expected rate
- 6.6%
- Against expected
- 1.30x0.93x to 1.82x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
166 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $677
- Top tenth
- $83,179
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +77%
- Against Steam
- +27%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- JDM: Japanese Drift Master (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,261 reviews, 75% positiveest. $3.6M
- NASCAR 25 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,787 reviews, 72% positiveest. $1.4M
- Wanderburg (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,888 reviews, 78% positiveest. $829k
- HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™ 2 - Turbocharged (opens the Steam store)2023 · 955 reviews, 77% positiveest. $773k
- iRacing Arcade (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,212 reviews, 72% positiveest. $613k
- Old School Rally (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,144 reviews, 89% positiveest. $564k
- Super Woden: Rally Edge (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,565 reviews, 96% positiveest. $412k
- Formula Legends (opens the Steam store)2025 · 875 reviews, 82% positiveest. $354k
More with Driving
pairs with Driving- Driving + Exploration$10,40830 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Open World$6,51131 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Driving$1,82042 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Driving + First-Person$1,72038 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Realistic$1,41641 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Driving$1,34486 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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