Niche

Detective + Multiple Endings

Games tagged both Detective and Multiple Endings: 53 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Detective + Multiple Endings priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Detective + Multiple Endings is too small to compare with Detective and is too small to compare with Multiple Endings: 0 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0 of 195 launches for Detective and 1.1 in 100 for Multiple Endings.

Small sample: 25 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneDetective

0 of 195launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 195 launches

Typical earnings$226

Launches195 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairDetective + Multiple Endings

0 of 25launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 25 launches

$1k+1 of 25 launches

$10k+1 of 25 launches

Launches25 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagMultiple Endings

1.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 94

Typical earnings$325

Launches562 / 6 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Multiple Endings is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices53 in pair Under $525 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair$10 to $209: too few$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Detective and Multiple Endings priced under $5. 0 of 25 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 170 for Detective-only games and 1.1 in 100 for Multiple Endings-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Detective alone and is too small to compare with Multiple Endings alone.

Both: 25 games priced under $5; 0 of 25 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 1 of 25 launches · $10k+ 1 of 25 launches · $100k+ 0 of 25 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

再见断刀leads this pair23.6%

Pair再见断刀23.6%

DetectiveThe Precinct13.9%

Multiple EndingsLegend of Mortal12.0%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Detective + Multiple Endings

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

再见断刀 earned 23.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 53 Detective + Multiple Endings launches.
Detective is led by The Precinct, with 13.9% of its money.
Multiple Endings is led by Legend of Mortal, with 12.0% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Detective + Multiple Endings holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Detective + Multiple Endings through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view43 of 53 launches	Without the breakout52 of 53 launches	Last 18 months15 of 53 launches
Launches counted	534 hits	430 hits	523 hits	152 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 53too few for a rate	0 of 43too few for a rate	3 of 52too few for a rate	2 of 15too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	21 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 42 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-100.0%7.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell	-23.6%1.8 fewer in 100	+76.7%5.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 53 launches.

Launches counted: 534 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 53too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 21 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 42 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 53 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 430 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 43too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%7.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, 再见断刀 (23.6% of the money): 52 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 523 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 52too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -23.6%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 53.

Launches counted: 152 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 15too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +76.7%5.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 53 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 53 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, 再见断刀 (23.6% of the money): 52 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 53.

Detective is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Detective through every lens, all prices
Detective	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view484 of 533 launches	Without the breakout532 of 533 launches	Last 18 months135 of 533 launches
Launches counted	53350 hits	48441 hits	53249 hits	13517 hits
Earned $100k+	9.4 in 1001 in 11	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.2 in 1001 in 11	12.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,040top tenth $90,096+	$1,093	$1,040	$1,544
Chance against standard	the base	-9.7%0.9 fewer in 100	-1.8%0.2 fewer in 100	+34.2%3.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.1%$53 more	0.0%no change	+48.5%$504 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 12 to 36 months old: 533 launches.

Launches counted: 53350 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.4 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040top tenth $90,096+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 533 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 48441 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,093
Chance against standard: -9.7%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.1%$53 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (13.9% of the money): 532 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 53249 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 135 of 533.

Launches counted: 13517 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,544
Chance against standard: +34.2%3.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +48.5%$504 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 12 to 36 months old: 533 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 533 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (13.9% of the money): 532 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 135 of 533.

Multiple Endings is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Multiple Endings through every lens, all prices
Multiple Endings	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,013 of 1,158 launches	Without the breakout1,157 of 1,158 launches	Last 18 months356 of 1,158 launches
Launches counted	1,158101 hits	1,01373 hits	1,157100 hits	35627 hits
Earned $100k+	8.7 in 1001 in 11	7.2 in 1001 in 14	8.6 in 1001 in 12	7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$1,181top tenth $86,044+	$1,144	$1,181	$1,011
Chance against standard	the base	-17.4%1.5 fewer in 100	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-13.0%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-3.1%$37 less	0.0%no change	-14.4%$170 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 1,158 launches.

Launches counted: 1,158101 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.7 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,181top tenth $86,044+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 145 of 1,158 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,01373 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,144
Chance against standard: -17.4%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.1%$37 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,157 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,157100 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,181
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 356 of 1,158.

Launches counted: 35627 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,011
Chance against standard: -13.0%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -14.4%$170 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 1,158 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 145 of 1,158 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,157 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 356 of 1,158.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Detective + Multiple Endings moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.