Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Cute + Mystery: a typical launch earns $505 in its first year
That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 58 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 27% on the year before: 32 against 44.
- Price
- $505 median of 37 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −86.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 32 44 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 98 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 265 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.07% | 14 ranked of 98 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,534 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.11xhits against expected | 0.76x to 1.72x | 58 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,137 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 58
- Hit rate
- 10.3%3.1% to 21.3%
- Expected rate
- 8.8%
- Against expected
- 1.11x0.76x to 1.72x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
58 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $81
- Median
- $909
- Top tenth
- $89,827
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −27%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Duck Detective: The Secret Salami (opens the Steam store)2024 · 6,131 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.2M
- Threefold Recital (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,128 reviews, 98% positiveest. $916k
- Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,582 reviews, 96% positiveest. $522k
- The Last Gas Station (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,341 reviews, 87% positiveest. $380k
- Stellar Code (opens the Steam store)2025 · 451 reviews, 97% positiveest. $228k
- Sisters: Last Day of Summer (opens the Steam store)2024 · 410 reviews, 84% positiveest. $207k
- Shanghai Summer (opens the Steam store)2024 · 393 reviews, 89% positiveest. $103k
- Mystery Lover:Nonexistent Memories (opens the Steam store)2025 · 357 reviews, 94% positiveest. $101k
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
More with Mystery
pairs with Mystery- Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.