Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Crafting + Economy: a typical launch earns $2,428 in its first year
That is the median of 39 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 68 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 86% on the year before: 78 against 42.
- Price
- $2,428 median of 39 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −32.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 78 42 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 193 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 386 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.19%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.42% | 13 ranked of 193 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,100 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.31xhits against expected | 0.90x to 1.95x | 68 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,335 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 68
- Hit rate
- 11.8%5.2% to 21.7%
- Expected rate
- 8.0%
- Against expected
- 1.31x0.90x to 1.95x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
68 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $191
- Median
- $2,529
- Top tenth
- $131,335
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +86%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- A Game About Digging A Hole™ (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18,827 reviews, 89% positiveest. $1.9M
- Soulash 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,387 reviews, 85% positiveest. $918k
- The Walking Trade (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,801 reviews, 86% positiveest. $680k
- Megastore Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,010 reviews, 93% positiveest. $569k
- Beer Factory (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,410 reviews, 40% positiveest. $542k
- Drug Lord Tycoon (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,671 reviews, 83% positiveest. $338k
- Fuel Harvest Together (opens the Steam store)2025 · 881 reviews, 69% positiveest. $250k
- Wayblazer Dämmerung (opens the Steam store)2026 · 248 reviews, 65% positiveest. $201k
More with Crafting
pairs with Crafting- Crafting + Open World Survival Craft$26,87533 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Resource Management$9,79344 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Base Building$8,90179 launches priced, 125 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Life Sim$8,45137 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Crafting$7,48760 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
More with Economy
pairs with Economy- Trading + Economy$24,39844 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Economy$15,26966 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
- Economy + Shop Keeper$15,12233 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Economy + Life Sim$15,00083 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Economy + Immersive Sim$14,95288 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Economy$10,95531 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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